Harris Trump Debate

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First Trump / Harris Debate prop bets

9%

A candidate says the word "ChatGPT"

16%

Alex / George Soros are mentioned

6%

Anybody says "Bell Riots", "Bell Riot", "Star Trek", "Deep Space 9", "DS9", "widespread civil unrest", OR "Past Tense"

15%

Anyone (caught on official audio) says "clean coal"

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Who will win (in prediction market gains) in the first Trump vs Harris presidential debate?

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Will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands at their first debate?33% chance

First Trump vs Harris presidential debate mention market: which words/phrases will be said?

52%

"AI" OR "Artificial Intelligence"

21%

Crypto

87%

Corrupt

85%

"Make America Great Again" OR "MAGA"

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Will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris both participate in a presidential debate hosted by ABC News on September 10th?98% chance

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Will Kamala Harris win the debate against Trump? (based on polls)72% chance

Will "GPT" be said by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?14% chance

Who will win the first Trump vs Harris presidential debate, according to Claude on the debate transcript?

Will Kamala Harris say the word 'weird' in a debate with Donald Trump?46% chance

Will ChatGPT be mentioned in the 2024 US presidential debates?12% chance

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How will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris election odds change 1 day after the September 10 debate?

43%

1.5% or more in Harris's favor

28%

1.5% or more in Trump's favor

29%

Neither

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Will Harris debate Trump before the 2024 election?98% chance

The ABC “Debate:” Who Shows Up?

97%

Kamala & Trump attend.

2%

Kamala attends & Trump is absent.

0.6%

Kamala & Trump are absent, or The “debate” on ABC never happens (read description).

0.2%

Kamala is absent & Trump attends.

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Trump-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Donald Trump say in his first debate against Harris?

81%

“Wrong”

79%

“Tremendous”

78%

“Illegal immigration”

75%

"In the history of our country('s)"

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How many presidential debates between Trump and Harris (in person) will there be?

1.8%

0 - no debate between Trump and Harris

42%

1 debate

54%

2 debates

2%

3 or more debates

Who will win the first Trump / Harris debate, in my personal opinion?

26%

Trump

51%

Harris

23%

No clear winner