First Trump vs Harris presidential debate mention market: which words/phrases will be said?
140
5.8kṀ92k
resolved Sep 11
Resolved
YES
"AI" OR "Artificial Intelligence"
Resolved
NO
Crypto
Resolved
NO
Corrupt
Resolved
YES
"Make America Great Again" OR "MAGA"
Resolved
NO
Insurrection
Resolved
NO
Rigged
Resolved
NO
Hunter
Resolved
NO
Felon
Resolved
YES
Abortion
Resolved
YES
Putin
Resolved
NO
Xi Jinping
Resolved
YES
Alien
Resolved
NO
Obama
Resolved
YES
January 6
Resolved
YES
Israel
Resolved
YES
China
Resolved
YES
Russia
Resolved
YES
"IVF" OR "In Vitro Fertilization"
Resolved
YES
"Covid", "Covid-19", or "Coronavirus"
Resolved
YES
Ukraine

Each word/phrase resolves YES if any presidential candidate says it during the first Trump vs Harris presidential debate (currently scheduled for September 10); otherwise NO.

Plurals, possessives, and contractions count but otherwise an exact match is required, see specific rules below.

If no debate takes place before election day, all answers resolve NO.

The exact word or sequence of words must be said without any differences, except for the following rules:

  • Plurals (e.g., "cat" and "cats") are considered equivalent.

  • Possessives, e.g. "Trump's" counts as an instance of "Trump" (but not vice versa)

  • Contractions count the same as the words they represent e.g., "don't" is equivalent to "do not"

Some examples of words which are not considered the same (not an exhaustive list!)

  • Abbreviations, e.g. USA is not the same as "United States of America"

  • Verb tenses, e.g. running vs ran are not the same

  • Other word forms like America and American are not the same

  • Parts of words, e.g. "Obamacare" does not count as an instance of "Obama"

Additional notes for clarity:

  • Any usage counts regardless of context.

  • Different meanings of a word, e.g. Apple the company or apple the fruit count as the same word

  • Different capitalizations e.g., "Apple" and "apple" are counted as the same word.

  • Different spellings of a word due to regional variations are counted as the same word (e.g., "color" and "colour," "organize" and "organise")

    • It's a verbal debate so this shouldn't matter but just for clarity. E.g. in case someone spells the word out, the spelling wouldn't matter.

Anyone can add answers but moderators may moderate new answers at their discretion (e.g. clarifying or N/A-ing them). Moderators are also welcome to resolve as soon as they hear the words said during the debate.

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