First Trump vs Harris presidential debate mention market: which words/phrases will be said?
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Plus
140
Ṁ92k
resolved Sep 11
Resolved
YES
"AI" OR "Artificial Intelligence"
Resolved
NO
Crypto
Resolved
NO
Corrupt
Resolved
YES
"Make America Great Again" OR "MAGA"
Resolved
NO
Insurrection
Resolved
NO
Rigged
Resolved
NO
Hunter
Resolved
NO
Felon
Resolved
YES
Abortion
Resolved
YES
Putin
Resolved
NO
Xi Jinping
Resolved
YES
Alien
Resolved
NO
Obama
Resolved
YES
January 6
Resolved
YES
Israel
Resolved
YES
China
Resolved
YES
Russia
Resolved
YES
"IVF" OR "In Vitro Fertilization"
Resolved
YES
"Covid", "Covid-19", or "Coronavirus"
Resolved
YES
Ukraine

Each word/phrase resolves YES if any presidential candidate says it during the first Trump vs Harris presidential debate (currently scheduled for September 10); otherwise NO.

Plurals, possessives, and contractions count but otherwise an exact match is required, see specific rules below.

If no debate takes place before election day, all answers resolve NO.

The exact word or sequence of words must be said without any differences, except for the following rules:

  • Plurals (e.g., "cat" and "cats") are considered equivalent.

  • Possessives, e.g. "Trump's" counts as an instance of "Trump" (but not vice versa)

  • Contractions count the same as the words they represent e.g., "don't" is equivalent to "do not"

Some examples of words which are not considered the same (not an exhaustive list!)

  • Abbreviations, e.g. USA is not the same as "United States of America"

  • Verb tenses, e.g. running vs ran are not the same

  • Other word forms like America and American are not the same

  • Parts of words, e.g. "Obamacare" does not count as an instance of "Obama"

Additional notes for clarity:

  • Any usage counts regardless of context.

  • Different meanings of a word, e.g. Apple the company or apple the fruit count as the same word

  • Different capitalizations e.g., "Apple" and "apple" are counted as the same word.

  • Different spellings of a word due to regional variations are counted as the same word (e.g., "color" and "colour," "organize" and "organise")

    • It's a verbal debate so this shouldn't matter but just for clarity. E.g. in case someone spells the word out, the spelling wouldn't matter.

Anyone can add answers but moderators may moderate new answers at their discretion (e.g. clarifying or N/A-ing them). Moderators are also welcome to resolve as soon as they hear the words said during the debate.

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bought Ṁ200 YES

Kamala said "guns" and "housing" also. I think "guns" counts by the plural rule?

bought Ṁ25 YES

@windysoup Yes, guns = gun. I will have missed some, will resolve everything once the transcript is out.

bought Ṁ50 NO

"Fraud" is not affected by "fraudulent", I thought?

@contabulator Fraud was said like 3 times earlier though

bought Ṁ317 YES

I missed it earlier, will double check with the transcript. You're correct that fraud and fraudulent wouldn't count for each other.

@jack Trump says Fraud around 1:35 talking about the FBI statements around violent crime (ABC Stream)

bought Ṁ250 YES

@jack David Muir said January 6

bought Ṁ333 YES

@Yiddishe_Kupp1980 Has to be said by a candidate (Harris just said it) as per

Each word/phrase resolves YES if any presidential candidate says it during the first Trump vs Harris presidential debate (currently scheduled for September 10); otherwise NO.

@jack Harris just said it multiple times

@Yiddishe_Kupp1980 Yes, that's what I said and I resolved

Debate moderators just said this, but I don't think either candidate did. I guess that doesn't count?

sold Ṁ16 YES

@PlasmaBallin Yes, that's correct.

@jack Do they have to say the full name to count?

sold Ṁ5 NO

@PlasmaBallin The full text of the answer has to be said, so yes for Xi Jingping, but Putin is sufficient for Putin.

The exact word or sequence of words must be said without any differences, except for the following rules:

bought Ṁ272 YES

Mods are also welcome to resolve anything said during the debate, I'll be trying to resolve some as it goes and resolve anything remaining once we have a transcript.

@derpy It's the most cursed thing I could think of for Harris to say.

@Rolledupaces did you mean Walz like the vp?

@jack Yes. Sorry. Changing.

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