Note: This market will close when the debate begins.
Trump and Harris have agreed to a presidential debate on Sept 10 at 9 p.m. EDT on ABC News.
How will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris election odds change 1 day after the first presidential debate occurs?
Historically, 1 day after the first debate:
2016: Clinton's odds went up 4%, 8% in her favor
2020: Biden's odds went up 5%, 10% in his favor
2024: Trump's odds went up 2.7%, 14.8% in his favor vs Biden
Election Betting Odds will be used as the price source: https://electionbettingodds.com/President2024.html#chart
Price of both will be measured according to the odds that are displayed on the chart closest to right before the start of the debate(9pm EDT), and again with the odds closest to 24 hours after(Sep 11 9pm). Difference of both odds will be taken to calculate the odds shift, so for example, +1% for Harris and -1% for Trump means +2% in favor of Harris.
If the odds shift less than 1.5% in either direction, resolves to Neither.
If no presidential debate occurs between Trump and Harris by election day, resolves N/A.
Pre-debate: Trump 50.6, Harris 47.4
Post-debate: Trump 47.7, Harris 51.2
Outcome: 6.7% in favor of Harris
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