Trump-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Donald Trump say in his first debate against Harris?
220
41kṀ73k
resolved Sep 12
Resolved
YES
“Wrong”
Resolved
YES
“Tremendous”
Resolved
YES
"In the history of our country('s)"
Resolved
YES
“Winning”
Resolved
YES
"Make America Great Again"
Resolved
YES
“Many, many”
Resolved
YES
“Radical Left”
Resolved
YES
“Border czar”
Resolved
YES
“Hamas”
Resolved
YES
"Back to the states"
Resolved
YES
“Billions and billions”
Resolved
YES
"Artificial intelligence" or "AI"
Resolved
NO
“Illegal immigration”
Resolved
NO
“Fake news”
Resolved
NO
“Nasty”
Resolved
NO
“A great guy”
Resolved
NO
"Palestinian(s)"
Resolved
NO
“Laughing at us”
Resolved
NO
“Obama”
Resolved
NO
"Witch hunt"

These options resolve YES if Donald Trump says the exact sequence of words during his first debate with Kamala Harris.

  • If Donald Trump & Kamala Harris do not debate before the election, all options resolve N/A.

  • This will follow the same rules as the original Trump-isms Debate Megamarket—see the original market for more detailed resolution examples.

  • You can add your own responses, but note (1) I intend to be strict with resolution (following the rules below), & (2) I reserve the right to edit all entries to better match the spirit of the market.

  • Resolution might take a few days because I'd like to consult the transcript.

  • This will likely close before the first debate to return liquidity to submitters (but no promises).

Resolution examples:

  • Needs to be exact same words (in order): "laughing at all of us" does not count for "laughing at us".

  • Needs to match tense & pluralization: "winner", "won", or "winnings" do not count for "winning", and "Project 2025's ideas" doesn't count for "Project 2025".

  • However, any punctuation is fine ("Billions! And billions..." counts for "billions and billions"), and contractions count as the expanded words ("what's" is equivalent to "what is").

  • An abbreviation is its own word: "MAGA" does not match "Make America Great Again", "LGBT" does not match "LGBTQ".

  • Different ways of transcribing the same word count: "January 6th" matches "January sixth".

  • To add flexibility to an answer, use parentheses or an "or". So " 'Free lunch(es)' or 'school lunch(es)' " matches "free lunches", "school lunch", & etc.

Context

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