Will Manifold Markets become an echo-chamber of AI enthusiasts and Destiny (the streamer) fans in 2023?
Will anyone create a substantive podcast show about Manifold Markets by the end of 2023?
Will Manifold Markets beat it's all time high on Google Search trend in December 2023?
By the end of 2023, will any real-world event have had at least 20 different Manifold markets about it with near-identical resolution criteria?
Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
Tomek K 🟡
Who will be the top trader on Manifold at the end of 2023?
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Will superforecasters aggregated outperform Manifold in 2023 ACX prediction contest?
Will Manifold figure out a satisfactory self-resolving market mechanism by the end of 2023? [Resolves to the most satisfactory such mechanism]
At the end of 2023, if I use Manifold Markets for more than 15 hours, will I think that using Manifold Markets over the last year has been net-positive or net-negative? (subsidized 550M)
Will Manifold have a more refined way to filter through markets by 2024?
Will Manifold take a market down in 2023?
Will Mr. Beat post a prediction market on Manifold in 2023?
Will manifold markets still have active users in 2025?
Will Manifold Markets perform better in the 2023 Astral Codex Ten contest than 2022?
Will Manifold reward the classification of markets into groups by end of 2023?
Will I go down another research rabbit hole because of a Manifold Market in 2023?
Will The Economist publish an article about Manifold Market or any other prediction market before 2024?