MANIFOLD
Conditional on manifold.love explicitly allowing people <18 to participate, will it get very bad PR within 3 months?
31
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resolved Aug 13
Resolved
N/A

Context: a bunch of people on discord want to allow teens on manifold.love under certain conditions.

"Extremely bad PR" is defined by first page result in google search for "manifold markets" associating the website with pedophiles or mentioning such controversy.

If the rules of manifold.love explicitly ban <18yos, this will be immediately resolved N/A.

See also:

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/conditional-on-manifoldlove-allowin

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@PeterBuyukliev you should remake this market
i am confident in my ability to add roblox levels of child safety

they say there is no such thing as bad press
with some hesitation i am inclined to agree

my main concern is that such press would attract men more than women.
it has similar pitfalls to posting your dating app on hacker news or 4chan.

so i will need to take another look at aella's kink data to see how the ageplay/incest cluster correlates with gender before i choose to explicitly court controversy in this direction

the truth is that many transgender women enjoy pretending to be young.
or perhaps this is just true of women in general. people WANT to pretend on their profile to be under 18, regardless of what it says on their fake or real california driver's license.

i was REALLY trying to avoid thinking about it at all but no other founder is stupid enough to touch this subject with a ten foot pole therefore if i do it i will have a humongus moat

i am fortunate that i am *woman myself
i feel as if i would not have the courage to post even this comment if i were still a man

@Sinclair

no other founder is stupid enough to touch this subject with a ten foot pole therefore if i do it i will have a humongus moat

No other founder is stupid enough to spend all their cash on 10 million rubber duckies

Therefore buying 10 million rubber duckies is creating moat?...

What value add, exactly, do you envision from having a dating app for minors?

@Sinclair You're considering altering the platform to accommodate "age play" & minors at the same time? While aiming for "Roblox levels of child safety?" Is this going to become a "MAP"-positive website?

@ChurlishGambit yeah this is stupid
i posted this in a kind of self-destructive mindset

sigh. i know i can't make a website for everyone. i can't make a social site for families and also have dating. the bar is not the university. the only way is to become so abstracted that it becomes thefacebook from the movie, the Social Network

and posting dumb shit like this is how i find myself in a court trial years down the line

@PeterBuyukliev @ChurlishGambit yeah so basically i need to add id-verification, but the id's need to live in the private database. in fact, i should probably separate it into a "legal" profile and an "illegal" profile since people want to lie about their name, not just their age, on a polyamory dating website so that they don't get fired or worse

the issue is like ... then how do you still have accountability?
"that man divorced me and ran away" we need that kind of testimonial.
like i respect bryan johnson's supplement business, but i don't want him on my dating site unless his profile is red-flagged.

arghhh the obvious answer is to add prediction markets arggghhhhhhhh

boughtṀ1,000YES

@ZacParker I'd be surprised if it got bad publicity after being shut down due months. Got insider info?

or mentioning such controversy

If the top result mentions the controversy but claims that Manifold handled it well, this still resolves YES? That seems wrong.

predictedYES

@IsaacKing I think it's fair. Any association to pedos is toxic and very bad PR. Plus, this mostly covers vague journalistic language - "the dating website, which made the controversial decision to blah blah ..."

I won't trade any more on this, besides my initial 20 mana position.

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