Conditional on manifold.love explicitly allowing people <18 to participate, will it get very bad PR within 3 months?
31
1kṀ2604
resolved Aug 13
Resolved
N/A

Context: a bunch of people on discord want to allow teens on manifold.love under certain conditions.

"Extremely bad PR" is defined by first page result in google search for "manifold markets" associating the website with pedophiles or mentioning such controversy.

If the rules of manifold.love explicitly ban <18yos, this will be immediately resolved N/A.

See also:

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/conditional-on-manifoldlove-allowin

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@PeterBuyukliev you should remake this market
i am confident in my ability to add roblox levels of child safety

they say there is no such thing as bad press
with some hesitation i am inclined to agree

my main concern is that such press would attract men more than women.
it has similar pitfalls to posting your dating app on hacker news or 4chan.

so i will need to take another look at aella's kink data to see how the ageplay/incest cluster correlates with gender before i choose to explicitly court controversy in this direction

the truth is that many transgender women enjoy pretending to be young.
or perhaps this is just true of women in general. people WANT to pretend on their profile to be under 18, regardless of what it says on their fake or real california driver's license.

i was REALLY trying to avoid thinking about it at all but no other founder is stupid enough to touch this subject with a ten foot pole therefore if i do it i will have a humongus moat

i am fortunate that i am *woman myself
i feel as if i would not have the courage to post even this comment if i were still a man

boughtṀ1,000YES

@ZacParker I'd be surprised if it got bad publicity after being shut down due months. Got insider info?

or mentioning such controversy

If the top result mentions the controversy but claims that Manifold handled it well, this still resolves YES? That seems wrong.

predictedYES

@IsaacKing I think it's fair. Any association to pedos is toxic and very bad PR. Plus, this mostly covers vague journalistic language - "the dating website, which made the controversial decision to blah blah ..."

I won't trade any more on this, besides my initial 20 mana position.

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