Conditional on manifold.love explicitly allowing people <18 to participate, will it get very bad PR within 3 months? | Manifold

Conditional on manifold.love explicitly allowing people <18 to participate, will it get very bad PR within 3 months?

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Context: a bunch of people on discord want to allow teens on manifold.love under certain conditions.

"Extremely bad PR" is defined by first page result in google search for "manifold markets" associating the website with pedophiles or mentioning such controversy.

If the rules of manifold.love explicitly ban <18yos, this will be immediately resolved N/A.

See also:

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/conditional-on-manifoldlove-allowin

Conditional on manifold.love allowing people under 18 to participate, will it get to 10,000 DAU's before 2026?

14% chance. See also: (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/conditional-on-manifoldlove-banning)

Get Ṁ600 play money

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boughtṀ1,000YES

@ZacParker I'd be surprised if it got bad publicity after being shut down due months. Got insider info?

or mentioning such controversy

If the top result mentions the controversy but claims that Manifold handled it well, this still resolves YES? That seems wrong.

predicts YES

@IsaacKing I think it's fair. Any association to pedos is toxic and very bad PR. Plus, this mostly covers vague journalistic language - "the dating website, which made the controversial decision to blah blah ..."

I won't trade any more on this, besides my initial 20 mana position.

Related questions

Will users under 18 years old be allowed to use Manifold throughout 2024?

What will be true of the Manifold Dating app (Manifold Love)?

Conditional on manifold.love banning people under 18 from participating, will it get to 10,000 DAU's before 2026?

If I join manifold.love, will I feel it had good rather than bad results?

When will manifold love shut down?

Will manifold get into legal trouble because they are not GPDR compliant before August 2024?

-16% 1d4% chance

Will manifold.love be seen as a mistake by the Manifold community at the end of 2024?

Conditional on manifold.love allowing people under 18 to participate, will it get to 10,000 DAU's before 2026?

Will >1 person make a Manifold account as a result of my class presentation heavily promoting it?

Will I register on manifold.love in 2024?

Related questions

Will users under 18 years old be allowed to use Manifold throughout 2024?

Will manifold get into legal trouble because they are not GPDR compliant before August 2024?

What will be true of the Manifold Dating app (Manifold Love)?

Will manifold.love be seen as a mistake by the Manifold community at the end of 2024?

Conditional on manifold.love banning people under 18 from participating, will it get to 10,000 DAU's before 2026?

Conditional on manifold.love allowing people under 18 to participate, will it get to 10,000 DAU's before 2026?

If I join manifold.love, will I feel it had good rather than bad results?

Will >1 person make a Manifold account as a result of my class presentation heavily promoting it?

When will manifold love shut down?

Will I register on manifold.love in 2024?