We know Ben Shapiro doesn't like wet-ass pussy, but does he like wet-ass mouths, throats, and stomachs? This market will resolve YES if anyone can provide me with conclusive evidence that Ben Shapiro is into vore, and NO if I find conclusive evidence that he isn't into vore. If I don't find any conclusive evidence, I will resolve to PROB based on how likely I think it is that he is into vore. This could be influenced by convincing, but non-conclusive, evidence or arguments. If no evidence is provided either way, I will resolve it to whatever I believe to be the appropriate base rate (currently, I think this is around 1 or 2%).
Manifans info:
subject: Ben Shapiro Vore
1,000
3.00Okay, so we have two pieces of evidence for Ben Shapiro being into vore, the short story "From the Pit" and the thumbnail to the "Bidinflation" video. I think the first one is much stronger evidence than the latter since it was written by Ben Shapiro himself and directly about vore, while the video thumbnail was probably made by someone else with an unclear amount of direction from Ben. But it's also circumstantial evidence, and it's easy to imagine that Ben was just inspired by similar sci-fi stories about shrinking and going inside someone, rather than by his interest in vore.
I will resolve this to a higher value than the base rate of 1 - 2%, since we do have some evidence that I think was clearly more likely to happen if Ben Shapiro was into vore than if he wasn't. But I don't think I can justify putting this above 5% or so, given the weakness of the evidence. I plan to resolve this to 5%, but I'll wait to hear any objections first.
This thumbnail is certainly... interesting.
https://www.reddit.com/r/comedyheaven/comments/xq362n/bidinflation/
Apparently - and I regret to inform you that I Googled this, because I had to know - he wrote a short story called "From the Pit" where someone is shrunk to tiny size and then swallowed accidentally. It's not exactly vore, but it featuring prominently in something he's written has gotta raise the base rate here to at LEAST 10-20%.
I'm gonna go figure out how to erase my memories of the past 30 minutes now. Wish me luck.
@evergreenemily Ben Shapiro writing a vore story does seem like a good piece of evidence. Not a smoking gun by any means, but I assume that the base rate among people who write stories with vore in them is higher than among the general public. I will add this to the evidence stash (currently it is the only piece of evidence in the evidence stash).
@JohnSmithb9be I think you should seek to be the #1 trader on this market, so that your name will forever be plastered at the top of the profit leaderboard after it resolves.