It's time for the final round of the Cursed Market Tournament.

Which of these two markets will win?

YES = /KelechiYousuf/will-i-go-one-day-without-stalking

NO = /IsaacKing/if-i-set-my-curtain-on-fire-and-don

The poll to determine the Round 5 winner is here: https://forms.gle/Cn2cbL8VcfsgDzsL9

The winner is determined based on votes in the poll*, or the average probability of this market if there's a tie.

You can, of course, arbitrage this with the main market, which it is equivalent to, except for the fact that this one will be used to determine the winner in the case of a tie.

*Unless there is a clear sign of fraudulent activity, in which case some votes may be removed.