It's time for the final round of the Cursed Market Tournament.
Which of these two markets will win?
YES = /KelechiYousuf/will-i-go-one-day-without-stalking
NO = /IsaacKing/if-i-set-my-curtain-on-fire-and-don
The poll to determine the Round 5 winner is here: https://forms.gle/Cn2cbL8VcfsgDzsL9
The winner is determined based on votes in the poll*, or the average probability of this market if there's a tie.
You can, of course, arbitrage this with the main market, which it is equivalent to, except for the fact that this one will be used to determine the winner in the case of a tie.
*Unless there is a clear sign of fraudulent activity, in which case some votes may be removed.
1,000
3.00
Here's the main market for arb. If you do think curtain fire is going to win, you can get a better price there: https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/what-is-the-most-cursed-market-on-m