Will Manifold Markets have a manifold market?
14
Ṁ1kṀ9812028
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"a manifold market" refers to a market with at least 670 traders (around top 200 markets?) that has the word "manifold(s)" in the title that isn't referring to Manifold Markets the prediction platform (or anything related to it like its community, discord, leadership, servers, etc.).
Examples of titles that would qualify are:
this market's title
"Will Manifold (https://www.manifold.ai/) IPO ever?"
"Will Surface Subgroup Conjecture about the group of closed irreducible 3-manifolds be proved by AI?"
Examples of titles that wouldn't qualify are:
"Will a market on Manifold reach 10k traders?"
Resolves NO at the end of 2027 if this doesn't happen.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold add a Limit Order Marketplace?
11% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
86% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
98% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?
92% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
72% chance