Will Eliezer Yudkowsky write a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" by the end of 2023?
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Jan 1
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Mirek avatar
Quantum Gamblerpredicts NO

Sometimes I am looking on the X for Mr. @EliezerYudkowsky and his rationalussy with hope for it to be there. But all the time I simply am finding the disappointment with him and my life. I will reconsider it for the next year 2024 of my life and what am I doing? Is there anything there more for me? I don't think so.

levifinkelstein avatar
Levi Finkelsteinpredicts YES
Frogswap avatar
Frogswappredicts YES

@levifinkelstein This is incredible

hmys avatar
HMYS

@levifinkelstein HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH

Mirek avatar
Quantum Gamblerpredicts NO

@levifinkelstein This needs the "PARENTAL ADVISORY" sticker please

DanPowell avatar
Dan Powell

Is this limited to @ESYudkowsky, or would any tweet authored by him apply? EY doesn’t deny having other X accounts, as a policy.

JonathanRay avatar
Jonathan Raypredicts NO

My gut tells me he wants to be taken seriously in his public advocacy for AI safety so he will probably refrain from tweeting about rationalussy. Also currently he could make more mana from having his friends bet the NO

SemioticRivalry avatar
Semiotic Rivalrypredicts YES

@JonathanRay Somehow I doubt a tweet that says rationalussy will have much effect on people's opinions about Eliezer

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherepredicts YES

@SemioticRivalry + could easily be embedded in a long tweet about a fiction story

jacksonpolack avatar
jackson polackpredicts NO

It hasn't been that long since he's written explicit BDSM fanfic, and he retweets aella's wacky posts sometimes, so I'm not sure how much of an issue that is.

(the fanfic's very good, and there's quite a bit more math digression than sex scene)

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherebought Ṁ100 of YES

Someone should be talking to Eliezer about this at Manifest.

ButtocksCocktoasten avatar
Buttocks Cocktoastenbought Ṁ25 of YES

Who is brave enough to bring this up to 69%?

MasonMott avatar
Masonbought Ṁ15 of NO

Forced meme

ButtocksCocktoasten avatar
Buttocks Cocktoastenpredicts YES
PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'predicts YES
PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'bought Ṁ50 of YES

He's tweeting fake words now, only a matter of time before he gets to "rationalussy". Big update towards YES.

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'predicts YES

@JosephNoonan Now he bet YES here:

Yet another update

justifieduseofFallibilism avatar
Timothy Currie bought Ṁ100 NO from 45% to 42%
Mirek avatar
Quantum Gamblerpredicts NO

@JosephNoonan Is he hackered? Sometimes I know I am here. It happens!!!

ShadowyZephyr avatar

@JosephNoonan It's all part of the setup, tweet random words so it doesn't seem out of left field... or maybe that's just what he wants you to believe, and is pumping the market so he can bet NO and not tweet it.

JonathanRay avatar
Jonathan Raypredicts NO

What if buttocks is Eliezer’s alt

HarrisonLucas avatar
Harrison Lucas

How do I block the word "rationalussy" on Manifold? It's very middle school, I'm tired of seeing it every time I log in.

ButtocksCocktoasten avatar
Buttocks Cocktoastenpredicts YES

@mr22222222 You can't escape rationalussy

Mirek avatar
Quantum Gamblerbought Ṁ19 of NO

@mr22222222 Settle down

justifieduseofFallibilism avatar
Timothy Currie

@FubbiQuantz You can block the group.