Will OpenAI release a search engine before 2024? [Read description]
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resolved Oct 19
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YES

Beta products don't count

Close date updated to 2023-12-31 7:59 pm

For the effects of this market ChatGPT browsing plugin could count as search engine.

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I don't even remember what I bet in this market.

However, the current description is wrong; ChatGPT with browsing uses an existing search engine, so OpenAI did not release a search engine. This is not a matter of opinion but a fact.

Strongly agree the question should have been worded better and the fact that a product that clearly isn't a search engine counted as a "search engine" should have been clarified in the description much earlier than it was. I'm pretty salty about this one.

predictedNO

Not a search engine. The search engine used by the plugin is Bing. This also already existed a while ago with bing search. OpenAI did not release a search engine. It's using a search engine that already exists.

predictedNO

@Rwin yeah this shouldn’t have resolved to yes

predictedNO

I wonder if a browsing plug-in that literally just consisted of a field to type an url in would have counted as yes. Both aren't search engines but both are browsing plug-ins

predictedYES

@jstn It was very clear in the resolution criteria.

predictedYES

@Rwin Which you clearly did not read.

predictedNO

Scroll down. I commented four months ago that I wouldn't change my bet even though the resolution criteria was changed to include a browsing plugin.

A browsing plugin is not a search engine. I'm not going to lie to myself about this to earn Mana.

predictedYES

@Rwin Kinda sounds like your problem then. Like nobody forced you to do that. I actually agreed with you at first but I follow the market creator because they are god in terms of decision making here.

predictedNO

@BTE You're entitled to your opinion. I simply maintain that OpenAI did in fact not release a search engine.

predictedYES

@Rwin Only one opinion matters. I feel you though. Sorry it went this way. How much did you lose?

predictedNO

@BTE Not much, 150M or something. I'm not commenting because I want my money back, I'm not very active on Manifold anymore. I only care about reiterating that OpenAI did not release a search engine.

predictedNO

@BTE equating releasing a plugin that uses and existing search engine with release an open ai search engine 🤡

predictedYES

@jstn I get it. But it’s not up to us. Each market has different criteria and the epistemic clarity will vary based on many things that are all controlled by one person, the market creator. You can make a market with better resolution criteria and I will bet on it.

https://help.openai.com/en/articles/6825453-chatgpt-release-notes

Browsing is now out of beta (October 17, 2023)

Browsing, which we re-launched a few weeks ago, is moving out of beta.

Note the date/time in the bottom right.

Also on mobile. @RobertCousineau Try updating the app maybe?

@BTE I was on web - maybe cached resources or something?

predictedYES

@RobertCousineau Probably.

It's not out of beta for me at least?

It’s out of beta now.

@FranklinBaldo This market requires either a resolution or clarification.

Beta products don't count

@Mira thanks

predictedYES

@Mira No longer.

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