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US Election

P Prize Market
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Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)52% chance
#Polling Averages
#US Politics
#Politics
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Crystal
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
51%
Donald Trump
46%
Joe Biden
0.8%
Kamala Harris
0.6%
Gavin Newsom
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#2024 US Presidential Election
#US Politics
#Politics
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Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?73% chance
#2024 US Election
#US Congressional Elections 2024
#US Politics
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Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?47% chance
#2024 US Presidential Election
#The Life of Biden
#Global Macro
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?59% chance
#US Politics
#US Congressional Elections 2024
#2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on July 13th?95% chance
#Politics
#2024 US Presidential Election
#US Politics
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Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (RCP Currently Trump +0.5%)
31%
July
22%
Not before Election Day
18%
August
13%
October 1st - Election Day, November 5th
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#US Politics
#Politics
#2024 US Presidential Election
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (538)
0.1%
May
98%
June
0.4%
July
0.2%
August
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#Trump
#US Politics
#2024 US Presidential Election