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US Election
Manifold Politics
Jack
Crystal
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
55%
Donald Trump
Yes
No
Open options
42%
Kamala Harris
Yes
No
Open options
1.1%
Joe Biden
Yes
No
Open options
0.4%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
See 18 more answers
5748
แน2.2m
Manifold Politics
Premium
Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
45%
Democratic Party
Yes
No
Open options
55%
Republican Party
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
1465
แน100k
Lars Doucet
Plus
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
NO
5504
แน50k
Brian T. Edwards
Plus
Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?
77%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
317
แน12k
Prize Market
Manifold Politics
Plus
Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)
YES
674
แน52k
Lisa Marsh
Plus
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?
53%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
204
แน11k
Manifold Politics
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on July 13th?
YES
74
แน2k
Joshua
Plus
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead?
100%
98%
Not before Election Day
Open options
0.0%
Before February 1st
Open options
0.1%
February
Open options
0.1%
March
Open options
See 7 more answers
544
แน12k
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