Harris
Plus
Will Kamala Harris flip a state?52% chance
54%
>50%, wins popular vote
25%
<50%, wins popular vote
21%
<50%, loses popular vote
0.1%
Exactly 50%
99%
More than 37.45% of the vote (what George H. W. Bush got in the 1992 election)
96%
More than 38.47% of the vote (what Barry Goldwater got in the 1964 election)
96%
More than 40.56% of the vote (what Walter Mondale got in the 1984 election)
96%
More than 40.71% of the vote (what Bob Dole got in the 1996 election)
44%
She changes her hair style
28%
Her social media gets (reportedly) hacked
28%
She grieves her father
25%
There is a recount in Nevada