Popular Vote

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Basic

Will Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Election?21% chance

Will the winner of the electoral college also win the popular vote in 2024?74% chance

Plus

Which party will win the US presidential election X which will win popular vote?

52%

Democrat wins popular vote and presidency

22%

Democrat wins popular vote, Republican wins presidency

3%

Republican wins popular vote, Democrat wins presidency

23%

Republican wins popular vote and presidency

Kamala Harris's 2024 popular vote share

66%

>50%, wins popular vote

18%

<50%, wins popular vote

15%

<50%, loses popular vote

0.1%

Exactly 50%

Plus

Who will be the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 United States Presidential Election?

76%

Kamala Harris

24%

Donald Trump

0.1%

Tim Walz

0.1%

JD Vance

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