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What Will Trump Do?
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Manifold Politics
Premium
Will Trump win the 2024 Election?
YES
981
𝕊11k
Kevin Burke
Plus
Donald Trump Sr and Laura Loomer are in a sexual relationship? Credible evidence before March 31, 2025
3%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
343
Ṁ1000
Martin Randall
Premium
When will Trump serve time?
91%
Never
Yes
No
Open options
0%
2023 (NO)
Yes
No
Open options
0.7%
2024
Yes
No
Open options
1.6%
2025
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
2488
Ṁ21k
Gordan Knott
Plus
Will Donald Trump drop out of the presidential election for any reason before Nov 5th ?
NO
146
Ṁ1000
Jes Wolfe
Premium
Will JD Vance be removed from the Trump ticket before the election?
NO
432
Ṁ10k
DismalScientist
Plus
What were the motives of the first Trump shooter? [An option resolves YES if it was a contributing factor]
23%
Protect Democracy
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Combat Climate change
Yes
No
Open options
1.3%
Combating racism
Yes
No
Open options
0.7%
Socialism/communism
Yes
No
Open options
See 36 more answers
284
Ṁ4000
Joshua
Plus
Will Evan Vucci's photograph of Trump pumping his fist be at least a finalist for a Pulitzer?
80%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
89
Ṁ1000
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