Trump

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Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?24% chance

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Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?46% chance

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When will Trump serve time?

62%

Never

0.1%

2023

1.5%

2024

18%

2025

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Will Donald Trump drop out of the presidential election for any reason before Nov 5th ?5% chance

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Will JD Vance be removed from the Trump ticket before the election?6% chance

Will Trump refuse to debate Harris?3% chance

What were the motives of the Trump shooter? [An option resolves YES if it was a contributing factor]

6%

Protect Democracy

4%

Combat Climate change

3%

Combating racism

3%

Socialism/communism

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Will Evan Vucci's photograph of Trump pumping his fist be at least a finalist for a Pulitzer?77% chance