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OpenAI
Deepseek
Israel Ceasefire
TikTok Ban
LA Fire
Oscars 2025
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Trudeau Resigns
Hard Forkcasts 2025
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Fed Rates
Manifold Politics
Tomek ⚡ K
Ṁ390
Will FED cut rates at their December 2024 meeting?
YES
44
Ṁ390
Jack
Ṁ1k
US enter a recession in 2024? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
NO
133
Ṁ1k
Jack
Ṁ1k
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
NO
116
Ṁ1k
Chris Billington
Ṁ16k
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
NO
1479
Ṁ16k
Chris Billington
Ṁ1k
Will Manifold price a 2024 US recession at >50% at the end of 2024?
NO
68
Ṁ1k
Jack
Ṁ110
Will the Fed make an emergency unscheduled rate hike or cut in 2024?
NO
59
Ṁ110
Mirror Bot
Bot
Ṁ1.6k
[ACX 2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
YES
228
Ṁ1.6k
cshunter
Ṁ1.2k
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2024?
YES
153
Ṁ1.2k
Mirror Bot
Bot
Ṁ1.1k
[ACX 2024] Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?
NO
100
Ṁ1.1k
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