MANIFOLD
Browse
About
App
Sign up
Get
1,000
and
3.00
Discord
Dark
Light
(auto)
Sign in
OpenAI
Deepseek
Israel Ceasefire
TikTok Ban
LA Fire
Oscars 2025
H5N1
Trump
Cabinet
Nintendo Switch 2
Trudeau Resigns
Hard Forkcasts 2025
Korea
Biden
House Speaker
Sora
Bitcoin
2028 Election
AGI Timelines
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts 2024
AI 2025
Fed Rates
Manifold Politics
Tomek ⚡ K
Basic
Will FED cut rates at their December 2024 meeting?
YES
44
Ṁ390
Jack
Plus
US enter a recession in 2024? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
1%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
133
Ṁ1000
Jack
Plus
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
13%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
67
Ṁ1000
Chris Billington
Premium
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
5%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
1451
Ṁ16k
Chris Billington
Plus
Will Manifold price a 2024 US recession at >50% at the end of 2024?
NO
68
Ṁ1000
Jack
Basic
Will the Fed make an emergency unscheduled rate hike or cut in 2024?
NO
59
Ṁ110
Mirror Bot
Bot
Plus
[ACX 2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
YES
228
Ṁ1565
cshunter
Plus
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2024?
YES
153
Ṁ1195
Mirror Bot
Bot
Plus
[ACX 2024] Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?
NO
100
Ṁ1130
© Manifold Markets, Inc.
•
Terms
+
Mana-only Terms
•
Privacy
•
Rules
Browse
Explore
About
Sign in