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US Economy
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Plus
How much will the Fed cut interest rates in September 2024?
29%
50+ bps cut
Yes
No
Open options
68%
25 bps cut
Yes
No
Open options
3%
No change
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
25+ bps hike
Yes
No
Open options
190
Ṁ10k
Jack
US enter a recession in 2024? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
7%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
113
Ṁ1k
Jack
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
25%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
24
Ṁ1k
Chris Billington
Plus
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2024?
20%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
1355
Ṁ16k
Sketchy
Will the FED cut rates *before* their scheduled September meeting?
1%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
168
Ṁ1k
Chris Billington
Will Manifold price a 2024 US recession at >50% at the end of 2024?
15%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
61
Ṁ1k
Jack
Mini
Will the Fed make an emergency unscheduled rate hike or cut in 2024?
4%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
46
Ṁ110
Mirror Bot
Bot
[ACX 2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
88%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
215
Ṁ1.6k
Tomek ⚡ K
Plus
Will FED cut rates at their September 2024 meeting?
98%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
147
Ṁ10k
cshunter
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2024?
78%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
140
Ṁ1.2k
Sketchy
In which FOMC meeting will the FED pivot (lower interest rates)?
0%
Apr/May 30-1
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
June 11-12
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
July 30-31
Yes
No
Open options
98.1%
September 17-18
Yes
No
Open options
See 4 more answers
59
Ṁ1.4k
Tomek ⚡ K
When will FED lower interest rates (so called "pivot")?
98.8%
September 2024
Yes
No
Open options
0.4%
Not before 2030
Yes
No
Open options
0.3%
November 2024
Yes
No
Open options
0.3%
December 2024
Yes
No
Open options
See 25 more answers
85
Ṁ3.6k
Sketchy
When will the FED pivot (lower interest rates)?
98%
Q3 2024
Yes
No
Open options
1.9%
Q4 2024
Yes
No
Open options
0.3%
2025 and beyond
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
Q2 2024
Yes
No
Open options
See 4 more answers
171
Ṁ7.2k
nityaaditya nagda
Will the Fed cut rates before October 21st?
98%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
59
Ṁ1k
Samarth S
The US Fed will do a rate cut before the US Presidential election.
98%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
74
Ṁ1k
1893
Will the FED drop interest rates at least once before the end of 2024?
98%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
74
Ṁ1k
Mirror Bot
Bot
[ACX 2024] Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?
11%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
88
Ṁ1.1k
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