SOTU💬

President Biden will deliver his State of the Union address at 9 PM E.T. and you can watch the stream right here on Manifold at https://manifold.markets/tv with a built in market and live chat!

This dashboard contains markets about the speech, but be sure to also check out the State of the Union Tag and the Leaderboard Tournament.

We'll also have a voice chat in the Manifold Discord at this link.

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Resolved
YES
Biden will speak for more than an hour
Resolved
YES
Biden will get heckled or booed
Resolved
YES
Biden will wear a blue tie
Resolved
YES
Putin will be mentioned by name
100%76%
9 or more
0.9%
0
1.6%
1-2
9%
3-5
Resolved
NO
In danger
Resolved
NO
move forward
Resolved
NO
The State of the Union is strong
Resolved
NO
Republicans in Congress
100%89%
Israel
1.0%
China
9%
Ukraine
0.4%
Russia
NBC News
'Wake up': Biden delivers fiery State of the Union — sparring with critics and swiping at Trump
Biden to give State of the Union tonight as he grapples with Gaza, Ukraine, inflation and immigration concerns.
Newsweek
Biden's age under the microscope at State of the Union speech
The State of the Union speech may be Biden's only chance for the next several months to make his case for reelection to a large national audience.
Resolved
YES
Kamala Harris
Resolved
YES
Mike Johnson
Resolved
YES
Vladimir putin
Resolved
YES
Joe Biden
100%99.7%
Miguel Cardona, Education
0.0%
Deb Haaland, Interior
0.1%
Tom Vilsack, Agriculture
0.0%
Marcia Fudge, HUD
100%90%
Vladimir Putin
4%
Volodymyr Zelensky
1.1%
Xi Jinping
0.9%
Benjamin Netanyahu
NBC News
Biden allies see a chance to tamp down some Democratic anxiety: The State of the Union address
Advisers grappling with President Joe Biden’s stubbornly low poll numbers and Democratic anxiety see the State of the Union as a chance to make case for Biden.
100%90%
2
5%
0
3%
1
3%
3+
100%98%
Q
0.1%
X
2%
Z
0.1%
J
100%95%Other
0.6%
1
0.5%
2
1.9%
3
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