π TET 2024: State of the Union π
This market resolves 60% to 1st place, 30% to 2nd, and 10% to 3rd. Betting any option above 60% is guaranteed to lose mana!
Predict who will be the leaders on the State of the Union Leaderboard after the dust has settled! Add any traders making their way up the rankings that aren't yet listed!
Rules
Each market crowns a Gold, Silver, and Bronze winner from the event leaderboard, resolving to 60%, 30%, 10% respectively (W/P/S). The users who win also receive points towards the TET 2024 overall leaderboard:
Gold: 3 points
Silver: 2 points
Bronze: 1 point
Markets resolve the day after the event's conclusion, unless significant markets are still in contention, in which case they'll be briefly extended at my discretion. This one closes at 5PM PST on Friday, March 8th.
Bots are not eligible.
1,000
3.00@jacksonpolack and @mint thanks for the feedback. I extended the close date on the Oscars market and will do some thinking about the final structure for how/when these markets resolve. Would love thoughts/ideas, I'm toying with some criteria like "closes the first day in which the top N markets by total traders in the group are resolved".
The leaderboard does seem to have some general unreliability to it too, I'm going to try to give that some thought :/
@mint I think the leaderboard is being weird right now tbhβ¦ Iβm not even on it and my profit went UP to like 3.5k after the last couple resolutions π€·ββοΈ
Markets resolve the day after the event's conclusion, unless significant markets are still in contention, in which case they'll be briefly extended at my discretion. This one closes at 5PM PST on Friday, March 8th.
I'd have much preferred you wait for matty to resole the last few markets, I could've gotten first if he'd made a few (unlikely) decisions, oh well. my bad for not asking
@jacksonpolack Im open to feedback on this but I imagine activating this clause in more exceptional circumstances like βthe race itself is in doubt because of a delay in vote countingβ. I think I need to make it clearer either way so I canβt accidentally play favorites with the resolve time, thatβs a fair point.
π THE STATE OF THE UNION IS OVER π
Congratulations to our victors!
π₯ @SemioticRivalry
π₯ @AlexanderMiller
π₯ @jacksonpolack
You'll all get points on the TET 2024 yearly leaderboard! Be sure to check it out and bet who will take the grand prize for the year overall: /DanMan314/who-will-win-tet-2024-resolves-wps
Check out other upcoming events:
/DanMan314/-tet-2024-who-will-win-the-oscars-r
/DanMan314/m1000-prize-who-will-be-the-underdo
@DanMan314 Also, some of the answers still haven't been resolved yet. I hope that doesn't affect the winners.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 I donβt believe so because the swings were quite large, and the group leaderboard at at /browse/ was very different than the one at /leaderboard/
I think almost all major markets have resolved or are priced close to 0/100, so I donβt think theyβll impact resolution. Gotta close sometime though.
fair warning, I stand to win another 1900 mana on the LGBT question if it resolves yes
Each market crowns a Gold, Silver, and Bronze winner from the event leaderboard, resolving to 60%, 30%, 10% respectively (W/P/S).
@nikki second time this has happened to a pretty experienced user, i think it should be in title :P
@nikki Lol, I was betting too quickly trying to catch everything at the end of the speech
@SemioticRivalry I donβt like cluttering up the title too much, but would it help if I changed it to something like βwho will be the winners of X on manifoldβ?
@DanMan314 yeah that'd help! I'm ashamed I "made" the W/P/S resolve system back in the day, at some point knew it was in this market, and still made that mistake