State of the Union Bets [Tonight 9PM Eastern]
722
100kṀ810kresolved Mar 10
Resolved
YESBiden will speak for more than an hour
Resolved
YESBiden will get heckled or booed
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YESBiden will wear a blue tie
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YESPutin will be mentioned by name
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YESUkraine will be mentioned
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NOBiden will mention both nuclear power and nuclear weaponry
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NO"strong" will be said more than 5 times
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YESIsrael will be mentioned
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YESBiden will include a dig aimed at Haley, Trump, or DeSantis
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NOTrump will be mentioned by name
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YESBiden will tell a story of 1 specific, non-celebrity American who is now dead (e.g. mass victim shooting, COVID patient…etc.)
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YESBiden will mention the word "ceasefire."
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NOThe Supreme Court Justices clap in response to at least three things
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NOMike Johnson will clap when no one else is clapping 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼
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NOSomebody in the room screams "rationalussy"
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NOIsrael will be the first country (other than the US) mentioned
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NOBiden says the word "fascist"
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NOSomeone says free Palestine (can be a protester)
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YESBiden will say the word "folks" at least two times
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NOBiden will use the term "Bidenomics"
The speech begins at 9 PM ET/ 6PM PT. You can watch the speech alongside this market and live chat at https://manifold.markets/tv
This market will close once the State of the Union has been concluded. I’ll probably wait until the speech is uploaded online to resolve a few of the more tedious ones.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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