Any form of the word insurrection in any tense will be counted.

For context, this market would have resolved to 1 for Biden’s 2023 address because he said “insurrectionists”; 0 for his 2022 address; and 2 for his 2021 address because he said “insurrection” twice.

If he doesn’t give a SOTU or resigns/dies before the fact the market will resolve 0.