What people will Joe Biden mention in the state of the union
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Plus
73
Ṁ25k
resolved Mar 8
Resolved
YES
Abraham Lincoln
Resolved
YES
Kate Cox
Resolved
YES
Kamala Harris
Resolved
YES
Vladimir putin
Resolved
YES
Joe Biden
Resolved
YES
Ronald Reagan
Resolved
YES
Jill Biden
Resolved
YES
Republicans
Resolved
YES
Nancy Pelosi
Resolved
YES
Beau Biden
Resolved
YES
Donald Trump
Resolved
YES
Mike Johnson
Resolved
YES
Joe Biden Sr.
Resolved
YES
Barack Obama
Resolved
NO
Any specific billionaire (non-politician)
Resolved
NO
John F Kennedy
Resolved
NO
Any of the following: Leonard Bernstein, Leonid Brezhnev, Lenny Bruce, Lester Bangs
Resolved
NO
Hunter Biden
Resolved
NO
Jesus Christ
Resolved
NO
Andrés Manuel López Obrador

Any person who is mentioned, not necessarily by name, will resolve yes. I will be the final judge of if a person was mentioned so I will not bet on this market.

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He talks about "my Dad's kitchen table"

"Having lost children myself" seems like a clear mention of Beau Biden.

He said "Nancy" and looked out towards her direction in the crowd. Seems like he meant that for her.

bought Ṁ300 YES

He said "our first black president"

@traders I'm going to wait for transcripts to release before resolving anything (transcripts on what he actually said and not what he was supposed to say)

@JamesF BTW for obamacare I don't think I will count as being Obama as it is specifically mentioning the policy and not the person

@JamesF This is the version that was prepared: https://time.com/6898705/read-president-joe-bidens-2024-state-of-the-union-address-full-transcript/

It might be different from what he actually said though.

bought Ṁ100 YES
bought Ṁ600 YES

Resolves YES - "Not since President Lincoln and the Civil War have freedom and democracy been under assault here at home as they are today."

bought Ṁ45 YES

"I'm optimistic, Nancy!"

He has alluded to him but has not (yet, at 10:00 pm EDT) named him.

@Johne5ee My predecessor is a way of naming him without saying his name which counts

bought Ṁ100 YES

Speech began with “mr speaker”

bought Ṁ100 YES

my predecessor for donald trump

(1) if he says the common interjection "Jesus..." in exasperation, would this be a YES? (I'd imagine so)

(2) if he says the common interjection "Jeez..." in exasperation, would this be a YES?

@PaintspotInfez jesus yes, jeez I wouldn't count

Edit: nvm

@simoj Most likely counts

Can a whale please add Mitch? I don't have the spare change for a 25 point investment

bought Ṁ40 YES

Thank you to our benevolent whale of the day, @JamesF 😍

bought Ṁ52 YES

@Will94fc Typo - should be McConnell.

bought Ṁ50 YES

The last SOTU started with "Thank you, Madame Vice President" and "Thank you, Mr. Speaker". Unless Mike is forced out in the next few days, it seems pretty likely he'll be mentioned.

FYI Obama mentioned Bergoglio in 2015

@lukres I assume we also count this if Biden calls him "the Pope" or "Pope Francis", right? Those seem much more likely.

lukresboughtṀ10 YES


@TimothyJohnson5c16 The market creator specified

Any person who is mentioned, not necessarily by name, will resolve yes.

so yes, definitely. It is the market creator @JamesF who resolves the options, though.

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