Any person who is mentioned, not necessarily by name, will resolve yes. I will be the final judge of if a person was mentioned so I will not bet on this market.
@traders I'm going to wait for transcripts to release before resolving anything (transcripts on what he actually said and not what he was supposed to say)
@JamesF BTW for obamacare I don't think I will count as being Obama as it is specifically mentioning the policy and not the person
@JamesF This is the version that was prepared: https://time.com/6898705/read-president-joe-bidens-2024-state-of-the-union-address-full-transcript/
It might be different from what he actually said though.
Edit: nvm
The last SOTU started with "Thank you, Madame Vice President" and "Thank you, Mr. Speaker". Unless Mike is forced out in the next few days, it seems pretty likely he'll be mentioned.
@lukres I assume we also count this if Biden calls him "the Pope" or "Pope Francis", right? Those seem much more likely.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 The market creator specified
Any person who is mentioned, not necessarily by name, will resolve yes.
so yes, definitely. It is the market creator @JamesF who resolves the options, though.