[ACX 2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
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Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2024 is higher than that on December 29, 2023.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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The the Iran tensions add some risk:

bought Ṁ100 NO

For all us ETF investors I've made this market:

Made a time sensitive version of the question, for the Yglesias prediction category (reasoning inside why it's not just a duplicate):

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