Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

The question resolves Yes if the most recent effective federal funds rate on December 31, 2024 is less than 4%.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.