Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2024?
153
1.2kṀ25kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment is less than 90 points in every month from November 2023 to December 2024.
Consumer sentiment was regularly above 90 points from December 2014 until February 2020. The most recent figure for October was 63.8 points.
Will consumer sentiment remain below pre-pandemic levels every month until the end of 2024?
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ885 | |
| 2 | Ṁ313 | |
| 3 | Ṁ239 | |
| 4 | Ṁ214 | |
| 5 | Ṁ199 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2025?
85% chance
Will any US state attempt to secede from the union within one year of the 2024 election?
7% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
20% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
If Trump is elected, will consumer "vibes" return to pre-pandemic levels before the midterms in 2026?
22% chance
If Biden is elected, will consumer "vibes" return to pre-pandemic levels before the midterms in 2026?
34% chance
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
9% chance
Will the last presidential election in the USA be in 2024?
9% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
10% chance