Mitch Replacement🐢

McConnell will step down as the Senate Republican leader in November after a record run in the job

Mitch McConnell says he'll step down as Senate Republican leader in November.

Who will be the Republican Senate leader after Mitch McConnell?

47%

John Thune

18%

John Cornyn

12%

Steve Daines

9%

Other

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What will be true about Mitch McConnells replacement as the republican senate leader

96%

Male

94%

White

90%

Has 2 or more children

75%

They will be from a state where the Republican nominee for president wins by a margin of 15% or more in 2024.

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Who will run to replace McConnell as Senate Majority Leader?

12%

Steve Daines

4%

John Barasso

Resolved

YES

John Thune

Resolved

YES

Rick Scott

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Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)?95% chance

Will John be the next Republican Senate leader after Mitch McConnell?67% chance

When will Mitch McConnell retire?

0.4%

2023

20%

2024

10%

2025

17%

2026

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Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?38% chance

Will Mitch McConnell have another "episode" during 2024?47% chance

Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?79% chance

Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?64% chance