When will Mitch McConnell retire?
104
Ṁ1.9kṀ32k2028
0%
2023
0.2%
2024
0.1%
2025
21%
2026
55%
Later
24%
He will leave politics in some other fashion.
0%
Mitch McConnell is the senate minority leader and has recently been having potential seizers. He is 81 but seems to be adament about not retiring.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before August 3, 2026?
5% chance
Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026?
99% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
30% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?
75% chance
Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?
11% chance
Will Mitch McConnell speak this year?
82% chance
Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
69% chance
On which days will Mitch McConnell be alive
Will Mitch McConnell outlive Ben Sasse?
40% chance
Sort by:
Does this mean retire as Senate Republican leader or retire from the Senate altogether?
@PlasmaBallin i had the same question. taken straightforwardly retiring is stoping working so he would only technically retire in jan 2027 under his current plan
https://manifold.markets/WyattFarace/if-my-mitch-mcconnell-question-rece?r=VGhlQmF5ZXNpYW4
put 1 mana in this one and vote YES in the other one for free mana :p
“in some other fashion” 😭😭😭
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before August 3, 2026?
5% chance
Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026?
99% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
30% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?
75% chance
Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?
11% chance
Will Mitch McConnell speak this year?
82% chance
Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
69% chance
On which days will Mitch McConnell be alive
Will Mitch McConnell outlive Ben Sasse?
40% chance