ChatBot Arena | Battle of the LLMs

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Premium
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
100%98.4%
Google
1.3%
OpenAI
0.0%
Anthropic
0.0%
Mistral
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Will anyone other than OpenAI rank #1 on Chatbot Arena in 2024? (for >1 week)YES
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Will any open-source model rank higher than GPT-4 on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (according to ELO Rating)YES
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Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena Ranks)?
50%50%
OpenAI
50%49%
Google
1.1%
Anthropic
0.1%
Mistral
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Which companies will outrank or tie with OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Resolved
YES
Anthropic
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
NO
Mistral
Resolved
NO
Other
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Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
30%
OpenAI
25%
Anthropic
0.1%
Mistral
27%
Google
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Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)
Resolved
YES
Anthropic
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
NO
Other
Resolved
NO
Mistral
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Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?NO
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Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at any point in 2024? (resolves based on ELO rating)NO
Basic
Will Anthropic achieve an ELO rating higher than OpenAI’s best model on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (for >= 1 week)YES
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Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
NO
Mistral
Resolved
NO
Anthropic
Resolved
NO
Other
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Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?NO
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Which companies will rank in top 10 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
Resolved
YES
OpenAI
Resolved
YES
Anthropic
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
YES
xAI
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