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ChatBot Arena | Battle of the LLMs

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Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
63%
OpenAI
14%
Anthropic
12%
Google
6%
Meta
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Will anyone other than OpenAI rank #1 on Chatbot Arena in 2024? (for >1 week)YES
Will any open-source model rank higher than GPT-4 on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (according to ELO Rating)YES
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena Ranks)?
59%
OpenAI
20%
Anthropic
15%
Google
0.4%
Mistral
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Which companies will outrank or tie with OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
38%
Other
35%
Google
14%
Apple
3%
Mistral
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Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
57%
OpenAI
13%
Anthropic
0.6%
Mistral
20%
Google
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Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)
40%
Google
5%
Mistral
18%
Other
Resolved
YES
Anthropic
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?12% chance
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at any point in 2024? (resolves based on ELO rating)24% chance
Mini
Will Anthropic achieve an ELO rating higher than OpenAIs best model on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (for >= 1 week)YES
Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
36%
Anthropic
42%
Google
3%
Mistral
8%
Other
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?12% chance
Which companies will rank in top 10 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
98%
OpenAI
97%
Anthropic
92%
Google
37%
Mistral
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