Will Anthropic achieve an ELO rating higher than OpenAI’s best model on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (for >= 1 week)
Basic
31
Ṁ3108resolved Apr 5
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@HarrisonNathan For the market to resolve, yes, Anthropic would have to retain an ELO rating higher than OpenAI for at least seven consecutive days.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Highest Chatbot Arena Elo rating of an open-source model during 2024
What will the highest elo of an open-source model on chatbot arena be at the end of 2024?
What organization will have the highest ELO score in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of Dec, 2024?
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at any point in 2024? (resolves based on ELO rating)
3% chance
Will an Open Source LLM Surpass any GPT-4 model in Elo Rating on Chatbot Arena on december 31, 2024?
96% chance
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
15% chance