Will Anthropic achieve an ELO rating higher than OpenAI’s best model on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (for >= 1 week)
31
Ṁ660Ṁ3.1kresolved Apr 5
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ189 | |
| 2 | Ṁ170 | |
| 3 | Ṁ84 | |
| 4 | Ṁ23 | |
| 5 | Ṁ21 |
Sort by:
@HarrisonNathan For the market to resolve, yes, Anthropic would have to retain an ELO rating higher than OpenAI for at least seven consecutive days.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
29% chance
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
Will OpenAI ever top the LMArena leaderboard again before 2030?
86% chance
Would Anthropic win in Starcraft2 match between the best players of the Anthropic team and those of the OpenAI team?
38% chance