Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
42
1kṀ16kresolved Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
YESGoogle
Resolved
NOMistral
Resolved
NOAnthropic
Resolved
NOOther
For any company to resolve yes, they must rank higher than OpenAI’s best ranking model on the leaderboards. A tie doesn’t count. If Anthropic and OpenAI rank #1 but Anthropic has a higher ELO this wouldn’t suffice to resolve the question Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ8,194 | |
| 2 | Ṁ94 | |
| 3 | Ṁ83 | |
| 4 | Ṁ73 | |
| 5 | Ṁ40 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Which company has the best AI model end of January 2026? (LMArena)
Which company has the best AI model end of February 2026? (LMArena)
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Will openAI retain >50% chatbot market share through 2030?
33% chance
Thinking Machines to top Chatbot Arena by EOY 2026?
7% chance