Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Plus
42
Ṁ16kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
YESGoogle
Resolved
NOMistral
Resolved
NOAnthropic
Resolved
NOOther
For any company to resolve yes, they must rank higher than OpenAI’s best ranking model on the leaderboards. A tie doesn’t count. If Anthropic and OpenAI rank #1 but Anthropic has a higher ELO this wouldn’t suffice to resolve the question Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ239 | |
2 | Ṁ107 | |
3 | Ṁ106 | |
4 | Ṁ94 | |
5 | Ṁ83 |
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena in 2025?
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
39% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
53% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will OpenAI still be considered one of the top players in AI by end of 2025
78% chance
Will OpenAI be one of the top 5 most valuable companies before 2040?
12% chance
Until what date will an Google model hold the top position in the Chatbot Arena? (>=week)