Abortion Rights

Will Norway move the abortion limit to 18 weeks in 2024?62% chance

Will support for abortion increase according to Pew from 2022 to 2024-2025?68% chance

Will anyone be successfully sued in Texas for having an abortion in another state before 2025?29% chance

Will Kamala Harris visit another abortion clinic before the election?67% chance

#2024 US Election

What will be the outcome of the possible ballot initiative in Arizona to overturn their abortion ban?

10%

No ballot initiative

87%

Successful ballot initiative

3%

Unsuccessful ballot initiative

#Ballot Measures

Will Arizona have an abortion referendum on the ballot in 2024?82% chance

#Ballot Measures

Will Arizona guarantee the right to abortion before Florida does?52% chance

How many US states will pass bills to repeal abortion bans (or legalize abortion) in 2024?5

Will support for abortion increase according to Pew from 2022 to 2024-2025?68% chance

Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2050?56% chance

Will Polish parliament legalize abortion on demand before 2028?26% chance

#Politics in Poland

Will abortion be more morally acceptable among Americans in 2024 than in 2023, according to Gallup?63% chance

In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?42% chance

‍ Ballot Props: Will Florida legalize abortion?65% chance

Will Joe Biden say the word “abortion” during a Presidential Debate?70% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

What percent of voters will vote in favor of Florida’s abortion amendment in November?

6%

<40%

8%

40.001-44.999%

9%

45%-49.999%

34%

50%-54.999%

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#2024 US Presidential Election

Will Trump change his stance on abortion again before Election Day?33% chance

Conditional on Republican trifecta: will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of December 2026?42% chance

Will abortion be restricted in Argentina in 2024?23% chance

Will someone have a court approved legal abortion in Texas before 2025?50% chance

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