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Back of envelope calculations like 1.4 mil votes outstanding and 1.1 net needed on YES to cross 60%… seems nigh impossible with current pcts..

I think it's just not going to be there. Latest poll has it at 54% with a 2.8% margin of error. https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/4957135-florida-abortion-ballot-measure-poll/

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https://x.com/umichvoter/status/1833212552974594498

The fiscal impact language on the ballot is a bit harsher than I expected.

https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1823665629972324791

#New Abortion Rights (Amendment 4) Poll - Florida

Yes - 58%

No - 35%

Suffolk #B+ - 500 RV - 8/11

Ppoll: Florida voters “lean” toward passing… abortion rights amendment

https://thecapitolist.com/poll-florida-voters-lean-toward-passing-abortion-rights-amendment/

The democratic party of florida are so incredibly inept that I could absolutely see this gift handed to them on a silver platter going completely squandered. Zero faith in Florida Dems not bungling this

@Marnix Yeah… seems like you are not alone in this sentiment

@BlueDragon that one's probably because Arizona just repealed the abortion ban 😛 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/01/us/arizona-senate-house-abortion-ruling.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

@Marnix 😂

Guess it’s a wrap.

As she spoke, abortion opponents watching from the public gallery erupted with angry shouts: “Come on!” “This is a disgrace!” “One day you will face a just and holy God!”

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

@BlueDragon Technically, the governor hasn't signed it into law yet, but it seems pretty settled

@Marnix

Key west to Virginia (17 hours by car).

I think the messaging is un-fumble-able.

@Marnix Yeah I should have waited for that (technically). Thought of it, forgot, remembered again when it was too late.

This one is getting real!

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/florida-supreme-court-abortion-rights-ballot-measure-rcna142568