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New Ilya Company

Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?38% chance
What will be true of Safe Superintelligence Inc.? [Add Answers]
95%
At the start of 2026 the majority of their compute will be Nvidia GPUs
90%
They will publicly demonstrate their AI or publish a paper by the start of 2026
84%
At least 5 most recently OpenAI employees will join SSI inc by Jan 1st 2025
31%
Will launch a commercial product by the start of 2026
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How much money will be invested in Safe Superintelligence Inc before the end of 2024?
63%
[$1B, $2.1B)
9%
Not revealed before the end of 2024
9%
Other
5%
[$2.1B, $4.6B)
See 7 more answers
Safe Superintelligence Inc. – Ilya Sutskever | Hacker News
What will be true of Ilya Sutskever's 'next project'? (add answers)
25%
They will publicly show some novel results in 2024
48%
More people think it will be net-positive for the world than net-negative, based on a Manifold poll in December
22%
Someone in an Executive or Director role at a FAANG or MAMAA company resigns to join the project within 1 month of the announcement
58%
It's related to the medical or scientific research industry
See 26 more answers
The Verge
OpenAI chief scientist Ilya Sutskever is officially leaving
Ilya Sutskever, the OpenAI co-founder and chief scientist who reportedly led the infamous failed coup against Sam Altman, is unsurprisingly leaving the company.
What podcast will Ilya Sutskever first appear on in 2024?
44%
Dwarkesh
24%
Lex Fridman
21%
Ilya does not appear on a podcast in 2024
5%
Other
See 7 more answers
Will Lex Friedman interview Ilya Sutskever again in by mid 2024?NO

https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322

Will Ilya Sutskever found a new company before 2025?YES
Will Ilya Sutskever announce they will work at Anthropic before the end of 2024?3% chance
Will Ilya Sutskever join xAI (Grok) before the end of 2024?2% chance
Was Ilya spooked by a capabilities advance?14% chance
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