New Ilya Company

Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?49% chance

What will be true of Safe Superintelligence Inc.? [Add Answers]

90%

At the start of 2026 the majority of their compute will be Nvidia GPUs

81%

They will publicly demonstrate their AI or publish a paper by the start of 2026

77%

At least 5 most recently OpenAI employees will join SSI inc by Jan 1st 2025

70%

It will be for profit

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How much money will be invested in Safe Superintelligence Inc before the end of 2024?

56%

Not revealed before the end of 2024

17%

[$1B, $2.1B)

Other

[$2.1B, $4.6B)

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Safe Superintelligence Inc. – Ilya Sutskever | Hacker News

What will be true of Ilya Sutskever's 'next project'? (add answers)

29%

They will publicly show some novel results in 2024

71%

More people think it will be net-positive for the world than net-negative, based on a Manifold poll in December

34%

Someone in an Executive or Director role at a FAANG or MAMAA company resigns to join the project within 1 month of the announcement

43%

It's related to the medical or scientific research industry

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The Verge

OpenAI chief scientist Ilya Sutskever is officially leaving

Ilya Sutskever, the OpenAI co-founder and chief scientist who reportedly led the infamous failed coup against Sam Altman, is unsurprisingly leaving the company.

What podcast will Ilya Sutskever first appear on in 2024?

46%

Dwarkesh

26%

Lex Fridman

17%

Ilya does not appear on a podcast in 2024

Other

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Will Lex Friedman interview Ilya Sutskever again in by mid 2024?NO

https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322

Will Ilya Sutskever found a new company before 2025?YES

Will Ilya Sutskever announce they will work at Anthropic before the end of 2024?2% chance

Will Ilya Sutskever join xAI (Grok) before the end of 2024?2% chance

Was Ilya spooked by a capabilities advance?14% chance

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