Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
738
8.6K
29K
2029
23%
Other
17%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Gretchen Whitmer
8%
Kamala Harris
5%
Pete Buttigieg
4%
Jared Polis
4%
Josh Shapiro
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1.8%
Raphael Warnock
1.5%
Andy Beshear
1.3%
Michelle Obama
1.1%
Cory Booker
1.1%
Hakeem Jeffries
1%
Sam Altman
1%
Joe Biden

Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028

Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"

Remember to bet for "Other". Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added

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Jared Polis

Bet accordingly.

bought Ṁ100 Jared Polis YES

@SemioticRivalry I can't wait for our first redditor president

@Joshua Technically Obama and Trump both did AMAs on Reddit

bought Ṁ50 of Kamala Harris YES

Crazy discrepancy here

@BenAdams Based on her 2020 campaign, I don't think Kamala would win the Democratic nomination even as the incumbent.

@Joshua 20% is less crazy it was at 40% earlier today

bought Ṁ10 of Katie Porter YES

@BenAdams Yeah it was a new market, you can see this one has been at 23% for a while:

Somehow there’s a really weak pool to choose from

Duplicate ignore

Should this resolve NA?

This is not an unlinked market, so no N/A for single answers. The name can be edited though.

I closed the market to new answers for now because there have been a significant amount of joke answers. I might open it up again when we get to 2027/2028

sold Ṁ39 of Other YES

@DylanSlagh Will you still add them yourself?

@SirCryptomind Yes, especially if there is news or rumors about their planning to run. If anyone has any suggestions feel free to put them in the comments

Duplicate ignore

@BenAdams this is a duplicate, Jeff Jackson now appears twice

bought Ṁ450 of Kamala Harris YES

@DanMan314 Shit my bad. Someone should resolve na

@BenAdams I don't think that's possible in this market format unfortunately :/ But you could edit the answer to be something like "[duplicate, ignore]"

Beto O’Rourke?

Taylor Swift is priced higher than many prominent dems and I’m absolutely here for it.

[Duplicate - Invalid]

Jon Stewart

sold Ṁ0 of [Duplicate - Invalid] YES

Yeah that's a confusing duplicate which should be removed.

@UnspecifiedPerson I've marked as duplicate and invalid 👍 ( @DylanSlagh lmk if you feel this was inappropriate)

@Stralor thank you!

Jimmy Carter

You guys know Jimmy Carter is still eligible to run right? Real "Jimmy Carter will live forever" stans would be buying him up here too and not just in his death markets.

boughtṀ1,000Sam Altman YES

@CactusBlue I like the confidence

bought Ṁ180 of Sam Altman NO

@DylanSlagh More likely Sam successfully gets ASI to serve him and he effectively becomes ruler of the light cone.