Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

1.5k

29kṀ1.4m

2029

16%

Other

15%

Pete Buttigieg

13%

Josh Shapiro

12%

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

J.B. Pritzker

Gretchen Whitmer

Tim Walz

Andy Beshear

Cory Booker

1.4%

Ruben Gallego

1.2%

Stephen A Smith

Mark Cuban

Wes Moore

Mark Kelly

Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028

Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"

Remember to bet for "Other". Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added

2028 Election

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WTF is this?? Shave it off!

@evan

bought Ṁ20 YES

@evan I think Pete with a beard might be stronger than AOC with a Bernie.

Can you add Barack Obama?

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Revel imagine watching the president doing a debate stream. It would be kinda cool xD

@remedyrain If destiny says the n-word during a presidential debate I'll start liking him again

Can we add Chris Van Hollen?

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1912598180484771998
Gavin was taken 6th in their draft!

Could Andrew Cuomo be added?

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 5% order

i think this might be a career-killer of a photo op for her

@Marnix if you hear her talk she's not very quick on her feet anyway, it was always going to be an uphill struggle for her

@Tripping she really is the Democratic Scott Walker - hype outmatches reality by a long shot

opened a Ṁ250 YES at 2% order

How does this resolve if there's no presidential election in 2028 but the Democratic Party goes through the motions of selecting a "nominee" anyway?

@DylanSlagh can we resolve Jimmy Carter as "No"?

@BlackCrusade It's dependent multi-choice, so no, it can only be resolved all at once.

@BoltonBailey Ah thanks, didn't know.

@XiaoLi is this a delete your mana market?

@BlackCrusade End date is 3333, so you never know

bought Ṁ50 YES

Is there a reason Tim Kaine was at 0%? He's a reasonable contender.

@TimothyBandors I feel like there will not be a lot of appetite in the Democratic party for people previously on tickets who lost to Trump.

@BoltonBailey Wow, I completely forgot that he was on the ticket in 2016. I think that election was extremely focused on Hillary vs Trump ("I'm with her"!), so I'm skeptical that it would be a big problem for Kaine.