Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

1.5k

29kṀ1.3m

2029

16%

Other

14%

Gavin Newsom

11%

Josh Shapiro

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Cory Booker

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Wes Moore

Andy Beshear

Jared Polis

Ruben Gallego

Jon Ossoff

Tim Walz

J.B. Pritzker

None

Raphael Warnock

Mark Cuban

Mark Kelly

Stephen A Smith

Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028

Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"

Remember to bet for "Other". Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added

2028 Election

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US Politics

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bought Ṁ1 YES

@Revel imagine watching the president doing a debate stream. It would be kinda cool xD

@remedyrain If destiny says the n-word during a presidential debate I'll start liking him again

Can we add Chris Van Hollen?

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1912598180484771998
Gavin was taken 6th in their draft!

Could Andrew Cuomo be added?

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 5% order

i think this might be a career-killer of a photo op for her

@Marnix if you hear her talk she's not very quick on her feet anyway, it was always going to be an uphill struggle for her

opened a Ṁ250 YES at 2% order

How does this resolve if there's no presidential election in 2028 but the Democratic Party goes through the motions of selecting a "nominee" anyway?

@DylanSlagh can we resolve Jimmy Carter as "No"?

@BlackCrusade It's dependent multi-choice, so no, it can only be resolved all at once.

@BoltonBailey Ah thanks, didn't know.

@XiaoLi is this a delete your mana market?

@BlackCrusade End date is 3333, so you never know

bought Ṁ50 YES

Is there a reason Tim Kaine was at 0%? He's a reasonable contender.

@TimothyBandors I feel like there will not be a lot of appetite in the Democratic party for people previously on tickets who lost to Trump.

@BoltonBailey Wow, I completely forgot that he was on the ticket in 2016. I think that election was extremely focused on Hillary vs Trump ("I'm with her"!), so I'm skeptical that it would be a big problem for Kaine.