2028 Democratic nominee?

MANIFOLD

358

Ṁ26kṀ340k

2028

28%

Other

23%

Gavin Newsom

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Jon Ossoff

Kamala Harris

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

JB Pritzker

Andy Beshear

1.5%

No 2028 Election

1.2%

Gretchen Whitmer

1.1%

Ruben Gallego

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

Market context

2024 US Presidential Election

Kamala Harris

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bought Ṁ1 YES

bought Ṁ100 YES

@predyx_markets please add JB Pritzker

@Jack1 added :)

I wish to learn how a dashboard was added to the market's topics list.

@predyx_markets please add Ruben Gallego, US Senator from Arizona. Thanks

@Jack1 Added. thanks.

The two major parties in the US have never nominated a candidate called "Other". This is HIGHLY UNLIKELY.

@YourFriend That’s not how other works. As more candidates get popular, Predyx will add answers, and other will split into these new answers. For example, Jon Ossoff was added a few days ago. If you held other, you would have got shares in Jon Ossoff, and you’ll get shares in other people that are added in future

@predyx_markets please add Jon Ossoff here t

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@Jack1 added

Andrew Cuomo, as much as it saddens me to say it

27% chance of nominating the governor of the most "woke" state after Trump was elected in party on a backlash to that. I suppose the pendulum could swing again. But I expect the post-Trump backlash to be driven by economic concerns.