MANIFOLD
2028 Democratic nominee?
286
Ṁ24kṀ270k
2028
31%
Other
28%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Pete Buttigieg
3%
Kamala Harris
2%
No 2028 Election
2%
Andy Beshear
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
1.3%
Cory Booker

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

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The two major parties in the US have never nominated a candidate called "Other". This is HIGHLY UNLIKELY.

@YourFriend That’s not how other works. As more candidates get popular, Predyx will add answers, and other will split into these new answers. For example, Jon Ossoff was added a few days ago. If you held other, you would have got shares in Jon Ossoff, and you’ll get shares in other people that are added in future

@predyx_markets please add Jon Ossoff here t

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@Jack1 added

related:

Andrew Cuomo, as much as it saddens me to say it

27% chance of nominating the governor of the most "woke" state after Trump was elected in party on a backlash to that. I suppose the pendulum could swing again. But I expect the post-Trump backlash to be driven by economic concerns.

There was a pretty big arb available with the other market.

reposted

Added another 10K liquidity.

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