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MANIFOLD
2028 Democratic nominee?
421
Ṁ32kṀ370k
2028
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%
Other
14%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Kamala Harris
5%
Mark Kelly
4%
Pete Buttigieg
3%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Raphael Warnock
2%
James Talarico
2%
Ro Khanna
2%
Andy Beshear
1.7%
JB Pritzker
1.3%
Rahm Emanuel
1%
Abdul El-Sayed

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

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bought Ṁ50 NO

Worth adding:

  • Ro Khanna

  • James Talarico

  • Raphael Warnock

@predyx_markets

@Gabrielle added :) thanks for suggesting it.

@predyx_markets Please add Abdul El-Sayed

sold Ṁ496 YES

@predyx_markets can you add Mark Kelly and Rahm Emanuel?

They are 5th and 8th favourite on Kalshi currently.

@Jack1 sure. added. And thanks for the tip.

bought Ṁ1 YES

Related:

bought Ṁ100 YES

@predyx_markets please add JB Pritzker

@Jack1 added :)

I wish to learn how a dashboard was added to the market's topics list.

@predyx_markets please add Ruben Gallego, US Senator from Arizona. Thanks

@Jack1 Added. thanks.

The two major parties in the US have never nominated a candidate called "Other". This is HIGHLY UNLIKELY.

@YourFriend That’s not how other works. As more candidates get popular, Predyx will add answers, and other will split into these new answers. For example, Jon Ossoff was added a few days ago. If you held other, you would have got shares in Jon Ossoff, and you’ll get shares in other people that are added in future

@predyx_markets please add Jon Ossoff here t

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@Jack1 added

related:

Andrew Cuomo, as much as it saddens me to say it

27% chance of nominating the governor of the most "woke" state after Trump was elected in party on a backlash to that. I suppose the pendulum could swing again. But I expect the post-Trump backlash to be driven by economic concerns.

There was a pretty big arb available with the other market.

reposted

Added another 10K liquidity.