2028 Democratic nominee?
131
23kṀ90k
2028
32%
Other
15%
Gavin Newsom
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Kamala Harris
6%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Gretchen Whitmer
4%
Cory Booker
3%
No 2028 Election
3%
Tim Walz
2%
Stephen A. Smith
2%
Andy Beshear
1.8%
Jared Polis

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

2028 Election
Politics
US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
Democratic Party
Kamala Harris
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27% chance of nominating the governor of the most "woke" state after Trump was elected in party on a backlash to that. I suppose the pendulum could swing again. But I expect the post-Trump backlash to be driven by economic concerns.

There was a pretty big arb available with the other market.

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