2028 Democratic nominee?
157
23kṀ130k
2028
30%
Other
15%
Gavin Newsom
14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Josh Shapiro
9%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Kamala Harris
3%
Andy Beshear
3%
Cory Booker
3%
Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Tim Walz
1.3%
Stephen A. Smith
1.3%
No 2028 Election
1%
Jared Polis

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

2028 Election
Politics
US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
Democratic Party
Kamala Harris
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Andrew Cuomo, as much as it saddens me to say it

27% chance of nominating the governor of the most "woke" state after Trump was elected in party on a backlash to that. I suppose the pendulum could swing again. But I expect the post-Trump backlash to be driven by economic concerns.

There was a pretty big arb available with the other market.

reposted

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Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
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