Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

️ Politics 🇺🇸 US Politics

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Ṁ16k

2028

ALL

30%

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

23%

Other

13%

Donald Trump (45th President)

JD Vance (Ohio Senator)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

1.9%

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.

Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.

Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.

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Since this market resolves at 50% for the democratic nominee, Kamala is way overpriced at 35% (taking the 2024 odds for Kamala she should be priced at 0.5 * 0.53 = 26.5%).

sold Ṁ475 Kamala Harris (Vice ... YES

Oh crap, I completely misunderstood this market.

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