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MANIFOLD
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
173
Ṁ22kṀ77k
2028
46%
Other
19%
JD Vance (Vice President)
9%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
3%
Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)
3%
Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)
3%
Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)
3%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
1.6%
Kamala Harris (Vice President)
1.5%
Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)
1.4%
Donald Trump Jr.
1.2%
Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.

Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.

Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.

See also:

/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf
/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344

Market context
2028 Election
Politics
US Politics
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It is crazy aoc and Marco Rubio are not options @ManifoldPolitics @mods

@Jack1 not sure I can edit this, but someone should

AOC, Ro Khanna, Shawn Fain should be added

Mike Johnson could be the first sitting member of the House to be elected president since Garfield

Since this market resolves at 50% for the democratic nominee, Kamala is way overpriced at 35% (taking the 2024 odds for Kamala she should be priced at 0.5 * 0.53 = 26.5%).

sold Ṁ475 YES

Oh crap, I completely misunderstood this market.

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