Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the U.S. Electoral College and certified by Congress, as verified by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC) or another authorized government body. If no candidate is declared the winner, it will resolve to "No."
Request your candidate in comments.
1,000
3.00@predyx_markets When has decorum stopped anybody?
I worry it’s possible this restriction could be relaxed before 2028 somehow
@predyx_markets Winning a swing state senate seat in a state your party's presidential candidate lost seems like the sort of thing that gets you mooted as a candidate. It shows you might be able to turn things around next cycle. I don't see any references in the news to a presidential run from him yet, but it's early. Makes sense to me to add him to the market.
@predyx_markets Elissa Slotkin, Tammy Baldwin, and Jacky Rosen won senate seats as Democrats in swing states.
There should be a market for the probability of winning the election conditional on them being the nominee
Related market here:
https://manifold.markets/AIC/who-will-be-vice-president-in-the-2
