Will a military aircraft be shot down over Israel or Lebanon in the next week?
39
213
750
resolved Oct 15
Resolved
NO

If a military aircraft of any nation is shot down in the territory of Israel or Lebanon (+ Gaza, West Bank) by 00.00 BST 15th October this market will resolve yes.

Paragliders / civilian aircraft / drones do not count - it must be a designated manned military aircraft.

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predicted YES

Israel shot down three unidentified aircraft that came in from Lebanon

predicted NO

@colorednoise they must be manned aircraft

Does Gaza qualify as the territory of Israel?

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@a2bb Gaza is included

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Do you include drones (including commercially available drones being used by the military for military purposes)?

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@Arinbjorn no. Thank you for noting, I will clarify it now.

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