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MANIFOLD
Will Jordan shoot down any more Iranian weapons or aircraft this year?
12
Ṁ200Ṁ1.1k
resolved Jan 4
Resolved
YES

During the April 13 Iranian aerial attack on Israel, Jordanian forces are reported to have shot down drones that were overflying Jordanian airspace.

Will Jordan shoot down any further objects fired from Iran by the end of 2024? This includes drones, missiles, aircraft, balloons, etc, fired at any target.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/jordans-air-defence-ready-shoot-down-any-iranian-aircraft-that-violate-its-2024-04-13/#:~:text=AMMAN%2C%20April%2013%20(Reuters),two%20regional%20security%20sources%20said.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/jordanian-jets-shot-down-dozens-of-iranian-drones-flying-toward-israel-sources-say/

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Making a judgment call here to resolve this as YES, after looking more at the reporting on Oct 1 attack.

Multiple sources report shrapnel falling in Jordan and injuring people that day, consistent with intercepts really having occurred over that country.

Further, Wikipedia phrases it as “The US Navy and Jordan also reported intercepting missiles.” (emphasis added)

Lacking direct video evidence or claims to the contrary, it seems reasonable to take Jordan’s claims as true.

Times of Israel reporting interceptions today, but the article is pretty sparse and merely quotes Jordanian officials, saying “The Royal Jordanian Air Force and air defense systems responded to a number of missiles and drones that entered Jordanian airspace…”

Unclear what “responded to” means in this context. I’ll keep an eye out for further reports.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/jordan-says-air-force-aerial-defenses-intercepted-projectiles-during-iranian-attack-on-israel/

bought Ṁ75 YES

@themightysalmon Whew! I forgot I was a big NO holder on this, glad I got out in time. Seems very likely to resolve YES but I'll leave it to your discretion.

No mention of the origin of the drone, but still a potential indication of Jordan’s future intent:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/jordan-armed-forces-thwart-attempt-by-drone-cross-jordanian-territory-state-news-2024-09-17/