Will Hezbollah launch a missile at Tel Aviv in 2024?
20
137
Ṁ980Ṁ428
2025
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to YES if a missile is launched by Hezbollah targeting Tel Aviv, irrespective of whether it is intercepted or succeeds in hitting its target.
I will consult statements by Hezbollah, as well as major newspapers (NYT, WSJ, etc.) before making a decision to resolve.
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