What will happen during or as a result of the Iranian drone attack on Israel? [ADD ANSWERS]
155
9.2kṀ69k
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
YES
The S&P 500 drops at least 1% on April 15
Resolved
YES
A new package of aid to Israel will be passed by Congress and signed into law by the end of May
Resolved
YES
Donald Trump will gain at least 1 point on Joe Biden in the RCP polling average by the end of April
Resolved
YES
American aircraft shoot down at least one Iranian drone
Resolved
YES
The attack will be the largest drone attack in history (by number of drones)
Resolved
YES
Joe Biden makes a statement on April 13 (EST)
Resolved
YES
U.S. directly intervenes militarily
Resolved
N/A
[DUPLICATE] Israel will launch a retaliatory strike by April 16 UTC
Resolved
NO
A military or civilian plane crashes by April 15 UTC
Resolved
NO
At least one person dies
Resolved
NO
Irondome catches 5 drones
Resolved
NO
Iran or its proxies launch at least 200 drones
Resolved
NO
Any strike or attack occurs in Tel Aviv
Resolved
NO
Iran will launch a second attack on or after April 14 UTC
Resolved
NO
A cyberattack targeting the state of Israel will occur
Resolved
NO
A cyberattack targeting Iran will occur
Resolved
NO
Iran and Israel begin a formal war
Resolved
NO
Crude oil WTI (according to MarketWatch) reaches 90$/bbl by April 16 UTC
Resolved
NO
Crude oil WTI (according to MarketWatch) reaches 95$/bbl by April 16 UTC
Resolved
NO
Credible sources will report that Netanyahu has left the country by April 15 UTC

https://www.axios.com/2024/04/13/iran-israel-attack

"Iran launched dozens of drones against Israel on Saturday night local time, four U.S. and Israeli officials told Axios."

All answers resolve N/A if a drone attack does not occur. To resolve YES, the event described in the answer must have occurred by the start of June. If it is unclear whether or not an event occurred in this time frame, I will resolve N/A. Any event that is not plausibly related to the attack will resolve N/A, although I will be lenient with this.

Crude oil MarketWatch answers resolve according to this page: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1

Israel
Iran
Israel-Hamas Conflict
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