Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
18
1kṀ4722027
61%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that an aircraft under the direct sovereign control of a NATO member has shot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before January 1st 2027.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
27% chance
Will Ukraine use a Storm Shadow missile into Russian territory by the end of 2025?
92% chance
Will Ukraine fire an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026?
98% chance
Will Ukraine militarily destroy or disable ALL Russian A-50 airborne early warning and control aircraft by EOY 2025?
7% chance
Will the "Sky Shield" proposal and European fighter jets over Ukraine become reality in 2025?
18% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced short-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced medium-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced intermediate-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
43% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
55% chance
[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
24% chance