What's true of the mice reportedly released at the UCLA Gaza protest?
19
แน€763
Dec 31
9%
They were injected with something
44%
They were released by Zionists/counter-protestors
25%
They were released by the protesters themselves
20%
They were injected with disease in an attempt to harm the protesters
29%
They were released by accident
71%
Many were killed on impact
40%
They belonged to a UCLA lab
Resolved
YES
They were genuinely released at UCLA
Resolved
YES
They were thrown

Reports on Twitter are claiming that "Zionist" counter-protestors threw a bag of mice at the Gaza protest encampment in UCLA.

https://twitter.com/SabihaKhan/status/1784893820343328862?t=mfoUXwcAAnVaq2-6Aou8Gg&s=19

https://twitter.com/SuppressedNws/status/1785229142897684968?t=Qd6_0hzupG7z_Mz31b4irA&s=19

Entries will be resolved YES or NO based on my judgement. If someone links to a credible statement from mainstream media or UCLA itself stating that they checked and confirmed or disconfirmed something, it will resolve immediately.

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Two updates:

  • The LAPD have arrested one of the counter-protestors (not for throwing mice, for the other stuff that happened later), and the AP article on the arrest mentions the mice-throwing as fact. I've temporarily paused trading so people can make their arguments as to whether this should count for resolution.

  • Since evidence has been slow in coming, and the odds of a thorough investigation only drop over time, I'm considering adding a deadline to this market. Something like "If there is no new info on an option by 2025, it will resolve to the trading price, unless it strikes me as obviously manipulated."

Okay, absent any arguments to the contrary, I'm going to treat this as confirming that mice were indeed thrown at them. I'm leaving the options related to the identity of the perpetrators open since there's no indication they were specifically IDed.

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