Will Iran attack Israel with another drone, missile or airstrike before the end of 2024?
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resolved Oct 1
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YES

On the territory of Israel not an Israeli in another country

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Well, this happened... it seems to have ended for now....

@FergusArgyll I expect a few more exchanges tonight and/or throughout the week. The shit's only getting started.

@ICRainbow

It's not as fun when you're actually under fire....

They're reporting that there's no known injuries so that's good

Must the attack successfully strike Israeli territory or is an attempt enough?

an attempt at the scale similar to last time would count even if no missles / drones get through the dome. i feel like if its a one-off shot it will be hard to confirm if its even iran, so i will have to judge

reposted

iran ordered an attack.... we'll see how fast it comes https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/31/world/middleeast/iran-orders-attack-israel.html

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Does an Iranian-backed organization count?

That would be pretty much constant, no?

Which organization? This was meant to be the Iran state but I can see some counting

reposted

news bump

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bought Ṁ11 YES

This has happened, no?

Oh sorry misread this, thought it was Israel -> Iran

@strutheo It might be worth clarifying if this refers to attacks within Israeli territory or also attacks on Israeli troops in other countries.

The country yes . Added

I wonder how much this depends on an escalation between Israel and Hezbollah. Therefore, I have created a conditional market. I hope some will find it interesting.