@strutheo It might be worth clarifying if this refers to attacks within Israeli territory or also attacks on Israeli troops in other countries.

The country yes . Added

I wonder how much this depends on an escalation between Israel and Hezbollah. Therefore, I have created a conditional market. I hope some will find it interesting.

tit meet tat

surprised this is so high, is this mainly based on the assumption that israel will retaliate?

@strutheo yes, seems likely that Israel will use this opportunity to really hurt Iran's strategic interests. This increases the likelihood of a response, at least at the low threshold of drones

No proxies?

@simoj no proxies

will iran attack israel again?