On the territory of Israel not an Israeli in another country
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@strutheo I think this resolves YES: Iran launches missile attack on Israel for Nasrallah killing (cnbc.com).
@FergusArgyll I expect a few more exchanges tonight and/or throughout the week. The shit's only getting started.
It's not as fun when you're actually under fire....
They're reporting that there's no known injuries so that's good
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1841113345409036543?t=xONKzHzQ9uRRXaTNw9UlWA&s=19
Iranian attack expected tonight
an attempt at the scale similar to last time would count even if no missles / drones get through the dome. i feel like if its a one-off shot it will be hard to confirm if its even iran, so i will have to judge
When will Iran retaliate?
https://manifold.markets/Lemming/by-which-day-will-iran-directly-att?r=TGVtbWluZw
iran ordered an attack.... we'll see how fast it comes https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/31/world/middleeast/iran-orders-attack-israel.html
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I wonder how much this depends on an escalation between Israel and Hezbollah. Therefore, I have created a conditional market. I hope some will find it interesting.
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Why use play money?People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?