If a full war between Lebanon and Israel happens, will it be an Israeli invasion?
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Jul 2
83%
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For the purposes of this market, a full war includes a ground invasion with at least 1000 troops. If this happens, would it be Israel to do so?

Resolves YES if Israel is the first to invade, NO if Hezbollah or anyone else are the first to invade. Will resolve NO even if Israel invades after Hezbollah does. The spirit of the question is to see who will be escalating the situation into a war.

Resolves N/A if a war doesn't happen by July 2024

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