Israel is proficient in the use of stand-off weapons, and evading enemy surface-to-air missiles. The most recent airframe they lost was an F-16I Soufa (Storm) in 2018 to an S-200 system, prior to that 2006 was the last time they lost an aircraft. Syria has S-200 systems, as does Iran. Iran, Egypt, and Syria also have more advanced S-300 systems, Syria's is overseen by Russia. S-400 systems are also located in Syria but are strictly under the control of Russian forces.
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I believe this has already happened: https://www.timesofisrael.com/helicopter-carrying-israeli-troops-to-south-after-hamas-assault-was-hit-by-explosive/
@YairHalberstadt This event happened on October 7th. The creator of the market stated that a combat aircraft has to be shot down after the market was created (on October 13th) for this to resolve yes.
@oFFMeta inactive creator, but just highlighting this market shouldn’t extend per the creator’s intentions.