Which of these military conflicts will "turn hot" in 2024?
132
3.4kṀ22k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES
Israel / Lebanon
Resolved
YES
Ambazonia / Anyone
Resolved
NO
China / Taiwan
Resolved
NO
Azerbaijan / Armenia
Resolved
NO
Israel / Iran
Resolved
NO
United States / Iran
Resolved
NO
Serbia / Kosovo
Resolved
NO
India / Pakistan
Resolved
NO
Balochistan / Anyone
Resolved
NO
Central African Republic Civil War

Any number of these conflicts might resolve Yes this year, once they enter the Wars or Major Wars category on Wikipedia's List of Ongoing Armed Conflicts.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts

I will be fairly liberal with what counts as a conflict. So if the U.S. and Israel declare war on Iran and start accruing losses in one Wikipedia entry, both of those pairings could resolve Yes together. Multiple belligerents fighting as part of a broader conflict with a different Wiki heading still count as long as their (para)militaries are actually fighting each other. At the end of the year, all unresolved conflicts will resolve No.

A conflict will only resolve N/A if the definition of the countries involved becomes broadly disputed in a high traffic trading event with no reasonable solution after asking mods. One guy misreading the wikipedia rules won't result in an N/A, but 12 people arguing about a 5-way civil war with publicly denied international intervention might.

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