Did a Chinese submarine suffer a serious accident in 2023?
6
closes 2025
31%
chance

Serious accidents would include the submarine sinking, or an incident involving multiple deaths on board.

This question will close and resolve in 2025, to allow information to make its way.

The question covers the time frame of the entirety of 2023, including before and after market creation.

It's hard to choose appropriate resolution criteria. I will resolve this YES if a reasonable person would deem it more likely than not that this happened. I will not bet on this market.

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Tetra avatar
Tetra

Since it says "If an incident takes place after question creation" does only having an accident from, say, August resolve NO?

Title implies otherwise, which is confusing either way

1 reply
JoshuaWilkes avatar
Josh Wilkes

@Tetra no no, throughout 2023. I will edit the description