Did a Chinese submarine suffer a serious accident in 2023?
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Serious accidents would include the submarine sinking, or an incident involving multiple deaths on board.
This question will close and resolve in 2025, to allow information to make its way.
The question covers the time frame of the entirety of 2023, including before and after market creation.
It's hard to choose appropriate resolution criteria. I will resolve this YES if a reasonable person would deem it more likely than not that this happened. I will not bet on this market.
If it becomes very clear that there was a serious accident, this question will resolve to YES early, but the resolution criteria will be much higher than 'more likely than not'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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