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ChatBot Arena | Battle of the LLMs

á¹€11k
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
100%98.4%
Google
1.3%
OpenAI
0.0%
Anthropic
0.0%
Mistral
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á¹€11k
á¹€1.2k
Will anyone other than OpenAI rank #1 on Chatbot Arena in 2024? (for >1 week)
YES
á¹€1.2k
á¹€1.3k
Will any open-source model rank higher than GPT-4 on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (according to ELO Rating)
YES
á¹€1.3k
á¹€1.3k
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena Ranks)?
50%50%
OpenAI
50%49%
Google
1.1%
Anthropic
0.1%
Mistral
See 1 more answer
á¹€1.3k
á¹€1k
Which companies will outrank or tie with OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Resolved
YES
Anthropic
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
NO
Mistral
Resolved
NO
Other
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á¹€1k
á¹€1.2k
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
100%99.0%
Google
0.2%
OpenAI
0.0%
Anthropic
0.0%
Mistral
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á¹€1.2k
á¹€1k
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)
Resolved
YES
Anthropic
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
NO
Other
Resolved
NO
Mistral
á¹€1k
á¹€1k
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
NO
á¹€1k
á¹€1k
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at any point in 2024? (resolves based on ELO rating)
NO
á¹€1k
á¹€660
Will Anthropic achieve an ELO rating higher than OpenAI’s best model on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (for >= 1 week)
YES
á¹€660
á¹€1k
Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
NO
Mistral
Resolved
NO
Anthropic
Resolved
NO
Other
á¹€1k
á¹€1k
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
NO
á¹€1k
á¹€1.2k
Which companies will rank in top 10 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
Resolved
YES
OpenAI
Resolved
YES
Anthropic
Resolved
YES
Google
Resolved
YES
xAI
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á¹€1.2k
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