UK Election
Resolved
YESMore than 202 seats (What Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party achieved at the 2019 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 232 seats (What Ed Miliband's Labour Party achieved at the 2015 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 258 seats (What Gordon Brown's Labour Party achieved at the 2010 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 262 seats (What Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party achieved at the 2017 election)
A surprise UK General Election has been called for July 4th, and the Conservative Party is expected to lose control of the government to the Labour party for the first time since 2010.
You can bet on the winner of every single seat here!
Prize Market
100%22%
375-424 (Labour won 412 seats in 2001, considered a landslide)
0.4%
<325 (Less than a majority out of 650)
3%
325-374 (The Conservative Party has 344 currently)
75%
425+ (An overwhelming majority not seen in decades)
100%84%
<125
14%
125-154
1.5%
155-184
0.9%
185+
POLITICO
POLITICO Poll of Polls — British polls, trends and election news for the United Kingdom and Scotland
All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland election polls.
the Guardian
Why is Rishi Sunak calling a general election now and what happens next?
The next six weeks or so will see the leaders of the political parties make their case to be the next prime minister
Resolved
YESAt least 5 parties/independents win seats in Northern Ireland
Resolved
YESThe Speaker gets at least two-thirds of the vote in their seat
Resolved
YESNigel Farage stands as a candidate in some seat
Resolved
YESAt least 3 seats have a majority of less than 100 votes
General election 2024 poll tracker: How do the parties compare?
How do people say they will vote in the UK general election? Our poll tracker measures the trends.
100%10%
400-424 (Labour won 412 seats under Blair in 2001)
1.1%
<325 (Less than a majority out of 650)
1.1%
325-349 (The Conservative Party has 344 currently under Sunak)
3%
350-374 (Labour won 355 under Blair in 2005
The Economist
UK election poll tracker
We break down the polls to explain how Britons might vote in the next general election
100%99.1%
Keir Starmer (Labour Party)
0.5%
Rishi Sunak (Conservative Party)
0.4%Other
100%98.4%
Labour
1.0%
Conservative
0.2%
Liberal Democrat
0.4%Other
100%99.9%
Conservative Party
0.0%
Liberal Democrats
0.0%
Scottish National Party
0.0%
Reform UK
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