Copying the style of several other markets on this sight, this is a free response market about the next UK general election (which has to take place by January 2025). Add your own answers on anything to do with the election (whether serious or funny), and I'll resolve all the ones that come true to YES. I reserve the right to resolve answers to N/A if they duplicate existing answers or are ambiguous.
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3.00@lisamarsh this can resolve NO, it was only Rishi that resigned. I think the only two other parties that lost any seats were DUP and SNP, and both leaders are staying put, if disappointed.
@lisamarsh This should resolve YES, the Workers Party got more than 0.5% of the vote, and all the parties that achieved this last time maintained their performance.
@BrunoParga I concede that you were right on this one. 100 down the drain for me, but I did get a lot of profit off of picking the right bet in the Labour number of seats market so I'm not too miffed about it.
Wondering about ‘party which has never won a seat before will win a seat’ - does Lee Anderson’s defection to Reform count as reform ‘winning’ a seat or does winning imply in an election? @lisamarsh
@Jack_Rose Good question! If Reform win a seat at the next election, I will resolve this YES because Lee Anderson wasn't elected. (If the Workers' Party wins a seat, that doesn't count because they won the Rochdale by-election.)
@lisamarsh Many thanks… I now know one benefit of us being fucked by reform is that I can make some magic internet money off it
@BrunoParga In seats tories otherwise would have won, I’m more worried about big nige actually winning a seat
@Jack_Rose doesn't the benefit of Labour (or the Lib Dems, or Green) winning seats that would otherwise go to the Tories outweigh the disadvantage of that huge c*nt winning a seat?
@BrunoParga No it does - i think reform is overall paradoxically a good thing. I’m just annoyed that we can’t have the benefits of the Tory voter exodus while also not having the nigeinator having a seat