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@lisamarsh this can resolve NO, it was only Rishi that resigned. I think the only two other parties that lost any seats were DUP and SNP, and both leaders are staying put, if disappointed.

@lisamarsh is "the next day" today or tomorrow?

Today

@lisamarsh This should resolve YES, the Workers Party got more than 0.5% of the vote, and all the parties that achieved this last time maintained their performance.

@lisamarsh this one is YES - SF, DUP, UUP, TUV, SDLP and an independent.

And Alliance!

The map is just not pretty at all for Reform. Despite almost definitely getting more than 10% of the vote, their entire chance of getting even one seat rests on Farage. It's plausible they win there, but it's not a guarantee in the slightest.

I have just bought this all the way down because I think it's a slam dunk for Farage. I think he resonates perfectly with Clacton constituents.

@BrunoParga I concede that you were right on this one. 100 down the drain for me, but I did get a lot of profit off of picking the right bet in the Labour number of seats market so I'm not too miffed about it.

Farage has been attacked with a milkshake on his first day in Clacton. Not a serious injury, but clearly assault - resolves YES?

@Noit Agreed. He’s not loving it. Resolves YES in my view.

@Noit https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw0097xlqxvo

Wondering about ‘party which has never won a seat before will win a seat’ - does Lee Anderson’s defection to Reform count as reform ‘winning’ a seat or does winning imply in an election? @lisamarsh

@Jack_Rose Good question! If Reform win a seat at the next election, I will resolve this YES because Lee Anderson wasn't elected. (If the Workers' Party wins a seat, that doesn't count because they won the Rochdale by-election.)

@lisamarsh Many thanks… I now know one benefit of us being fucked by reform is that I can make some magic internet money off it

@Jack_Rose reform splitting the Tory vote is great, isn't it?

@BrunoParga In seats tories otherwise would have won, I’m more worried about big nige actually winning a seat

@Jack_Rose doesn't the benefit of Labour (or the Lib Dems, or Green) winning seats that would otherwise go to the Tories outweigh the disadvantage of that huge c*nt winning a seat?

@BrunoParga No it does - i think reform is overall paradoxically a good thing. I’m just annoyed that we can’t have the benefits of the Tory voter exodus while also not having the nigeinator having a seat

YES!!! The Tories have over the last 14 years pissed off all sections of British society, and now it's payback time.

Can this one resolve NO? Or does it need to wait for candidate lists to be finalised?

@Noit I’ll wait for the final list; I suppose he could always change his mind.

@lisamarsh I would make a market on this!

@lisamarsh can you please edit this to say "Gallagher index of disproportionality ≥ 15.00“?

resign as leader or resign as MP?

@stationtostation As leader